Jaylen Warren — $3,116 · FFX
RB · PITTSBURGH STEELERS · RB24 · #61 OVERALL
Jaylen Warren
Why this price: season avg 8.1->8.7 ppg (weight 37%->38%); team projection PIT 23.2->23.7 ppg; 16.2 pts last game (11 car, 71 yds, 0 TD)
PRICE · 2024 WEEK 17
$2,788+5.8%1W+11%SINCE '24 DRAFTHIGH $2,788
AGE25Nov 1, 1998
EXP2 yrssince 2022
HEIGHT5'8"
WEIGHT215 lb
COLLEGEOklahoma State
DRAFTUDFA
RANKRB24#61 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2024 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE26%actual · 15 games TARGET SHARE12%actual · 15 gamesL4 12%
What the model expected
2024 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 163 RBSProjected games
13.750th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 104 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONMIKE TOMLIN
PITTSBURGH STEELERS · 2024 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected26TH OF 32
−6.3%runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate23RD OF 32
53%run-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2024 · PPR · VS 104 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
00th
of 15 games
Splits
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home77.9−0.411.756
Away88.6+0.310.654
Weeks 1 to 965.6−2.69.236
Career
2022–2025 · 4 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRCARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
2024 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1@ATL273.50221331%00–4.0
W2@DEN942
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE45%actual · 15 games
Rush yards
38.372nd
projected per game
Targets
3.691st
projected per game
Receptions
2.992nd
projected per game
Total TDs
0.4175th
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
8.3 PPG · 15 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game11TH OF 32
62.7more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate24TH OF 32
47%runs for touchdowns
Average depth of target12TH OF 32
8.0 ydthrows downfield
EPA per play20TH OF 32
−0.038a struggling offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
MIKE TOMLIN · CAREERRECORD201–126–2
WIN %61%
SEASONS19
PLAYOFFS13
Where he sits
2024 · 104 RBS
of 15 games · fewer is better
Floor
2.363rd
10th percentile week
Ceiling
14.957th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
9
10.0
+1.8
12.4
67
Division games610.3+2.112.264
Non-division96.9−1.410.449
Points distribution
15 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
RB
SEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025PIT1613.62119584.56454033351%46
2024PIT158.31205114.31473831045%24
2023PIT1711.61497845.34746137049%26
2022PIT165.8773794.91332821431%18
4.7
0
2
2
19
48%
1
0
–
8.1
W7NYJ12443.70321551%41−0.727.9
W8NYG9465.10321339%30–7.9
W10@WAS14664.70222945%30−0.279.5
W11BAL9414.60442733%00–10.8
W12@CLE11454.11431957%11+0.7615.4
W13@CIN393.00445536%21–10.4
W14CLE9475.20522552%20–9.2
W15@PHI4123.0021353%10–2.5
W16@BAL12484.00554467%20−0.2014.2
W17KC11716.50654153%41+1.0716.2
W18CIN6213.5010038%00–2.1
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)