Every price on the board is recomputed each Tuesday, and this is where the week landed hardest. A move is a change in what a player is worth over the freely available player at his position, so a riser is not simply someone who scored — it is someone the model now expects more from for the rest of the season, whether that came from a bigger role, an injury ahead of him on the depth chart, or a schedule that eased. Each row carries the reason the price moved. How prices move.
season avg 20.1->25.9 ppg (weight 21%->28%); target share 26%->28%; team projection LA 24.8->25.9 ppg; sentiment 1.00->1.03
season avg 28.1->23.0 ppg (weight 33%->38%); target share 28%->25%; model ppg 18.5->16.7 (efficiency / teammates); sentiment 1.00->1.02
season avg 11.2->14.8 ppg (weight 33%->38%); target share 24%->26%; 29.1 pts last game (11/20 for 121 yds, 1 TD)
season avg 13.2->17.1 ppg (weight 33%->38%); 32.4 pts last game (11/13 for 94 yds, 2 TD)
Out wk5 (Ankle); expected games 11.3->7.4; model ppg 17.5->11.0 (efficiency / teammates)
Michael Pittman (WR) out (3.3 fewer games): his share redistributes; season avg 14.1->18.6 ppg (weight 33%->38%); 36.8 pts last game (15 car, 101 yds, 1 TD)
Stefon Diggs (WR) out (2.4 fewer games): his share redistributes; expected games 8.5->10.5; dropback share 32%->99%; sentiment 1.02->1.06
Mack Hollins (WR) out (3.1 fewer games): his share redistributes; season avg 11.9->17.4 ppg (weight 33%->38%); team projection NE 21.6->23.5 ppg
season avg 15.4->17.8 ppg (weight 33%->38%); team projection LA 24.8->25.9 ppg; sentiment 0.99->1.09
Kyle Monangai (RB) out (2.1 fewer games): his share redistributes; Questionable/Limited wk5 (Hamstring), sat: p_next=0.54; dropback share 37%->93%; sentiment 1.01->1.06
season avg 28.1->28.6 ppg (weight 33%->38%); team projection BUF 27.2->28.2 ppg; sentiment 1.01->1.03
Out wk5 (Ankle); expected games 11.3->7.4; model ppg 17.5->11.0 (efficiency / teammates)
Michael Pittman (WR) out (3.3 fewer games): his share redistributes; season avg 14.1->18.6 ppg (weight 33%->38%); 36.8 pts last game (15 car, 101 yds, 1 TD)
season avg 11.8->15.7 ppg (weight 33%->38%); 31.5 pts last game (21 car, 165 yds, 1 TD)
Jordan Mason out (6.3 fewer games): his share redistributes; model ppg 14.2->15.8 (efficiency / teammates); season avg 12.9->14.0 ppg (weight 33%->38%)
season avg 29.0->30.7 ppg (weight 33%->38%); model ppg 21.5->21.4 (efficiency / teammates); team projection DET 27.0->28.7 ppg
Mack Hollins (WR) out (3.1 fewer games): his share redistributes; Questionable/Limited wk5 (Knee), played: p_next=0.86; team projection NE 21.6->23.5 ppg; sentiment 1.01->1.05
Out wk5 (Thumb); expected games 10.6->8.5; model ppg 11.6->9.2 (efficiency / teammates); sentiment 1.06->0.99
season avg 20.1->25.9 ppg (weight 21%->28%); target share 26%->28%; team projection LA 24.8->25.9 ppg; sentiment 1.00->1.03
season avg 11.2->14.8 ppg (weight 33%->38%); target share 24%->26%; 29.1 pts last game (11/20 for 121 yds, 1 TD)
season avg 19.3->21.9 ppg (weight 33%->38%); sentiment 0.96->1.00; 32.3 pts last game (6/8 for 143 yds, 2 TD)
season avg 10.1->13.7 ppg (weight 33%->38%); model ppg 15.0->15.9 (efficiency / teammates); team projection DAL 27.2->25.6 ppg; sentiment 1.00->1.02
season avg 12.8->16.3 ppg (weight 33%->38%); model ppg 13.0->13.4 (efficiency / teammates); 30.4 pts last game (6/9 for 124 yds, 2 TD)
season avg 28.1->23.0 ppg (weight 33%->38%); target share 28%->25%; model ppg 18.5->16.7 (efficiency / teammates); sentiment 1.00->1.02
season avg 13.2->17.1 ppg (weight 33%->38%); 32.4 pts last game (11/13 for 94 yds, 2 TD)
Michael Pittman out (3.3 fewer games): his share redistributes; season avg 9.7->12.1 ppg (weight 33%->38%); 21.5 pts last game (5/7 for 44 yds, 2 TD)
season avg 12.1->14.0 ppg (weight 33%->38%); 21.4 pts last game (7/9 for 83 yds, 0 TD)
season avg 24.1->23.7 ppg (weight 21%->28%); team projection LV 23.7->23.2 ppg; 23.0 pts last game (8/10 for 110 yds, 1 TD)
season avg 9.2->10.1 ppg (weight 33%->38%); 13.8 pts last game (7/8 for 68 yds, 0 TD)
left early? snaps 83%->3%; target share 19%->16%; season avg 11.9->9.8 ppg (weight 33%->38%); sentiment 1.03->0.97
season avg 21.3->17.0 ppg (weight 33%->38%); sentiment 0.93->0.96; -0.2 pts last game (96 pass yds, 0 TD)
team projection DAL 27.2->25.6 ppg; season avg 20.3->18.8 ppg (weight 33%->38%); 12.6 pts last game (316 pass yds, 1 TD)
season avg 14.3->13.0 ppg (weight 33%->38%); sentiment 1.00->0.90; 7.9 pts last game (123 pass yds, 1 TD)
season avg 19.7->18.5 ppg (weight 33%->38%); team projection LV 23.7->23.2 ppg; sentiment 1.12->1.02
Questionable/DNP wk5 (Ankle), played: p_next=0.83; carry share 70%->65%; season avg 18.5->16.9 ppg (weight 33%->38%)
Doubtful/? wk5 (Groin), played: p_next=0.67; carry share 52%->41%; season avg 11.1->9.1 ppg (weight 33%->38%); sentiment 0.98->0.93
season avg 12.7->9.7 ppg (weight 28%->33%); model ppg 10.7->9.4 (efficiency / teammates); sentiment 1.06->0.95
season avg 12.2->10.2 ppg (weight 33%->38%); 2.2 pts last game (12 car, 22 yds, 0 TD)
season avg 26.0->20.9 ppg (weight 21%->28%); 10.6 pts last game (5/7 for 56 yds, 0 TD)
season avg 22.5->19.7 ppg (weight 33%->38%); sentiment 0.98->1.03; 8.6 pts last game (4/6 for 46 yds, 0 TD)
season avg 17.8->15.1 ppg (weight 33%->38%); sentiment 0.96->1.00; 4.2 pts last game (2/4 for 22 yds, 0 TD)
season avg 14.2->12.8 ppg (weight 33%->38%); sentiment 1.09->1.04; 7.3 pts last game (4/7 for 30 yds, 0 TD)
season avg 12.6->10.3 ppg (weight 33%->38%); team projection CLE 20.2->19.4 ppg; sentiment 1.02->0.97
season avg 15.1->13.2 ppg (weight 33%->38%); sentiment 0.98->1.03; 5.6 pts last game (4/5 for 16 yds, 0 TD)
season avg 16.1->14.4 ppg (weight 33%->38%); model ppg 13.4->12.9 (efficiency / teammates); team projection SF 26.1->27.1 ppg