Why this price: thin edge: 0.4 ppg over the WR line, so small changes swing the price; projection 6.4->6.7 ppg; 4.0 pts last game (3/4 for 10 yds, 0 TD)
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 60%TE 20%RB 20%
SEAN PAYTON · CAREER
RECORD194–118
WIN %62%
SEASONS18
PLAYOFFS11
Where he sits
2025 · 170 WRS
of 15 games · fewer is better
Floor
1.659th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
13.658th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
7
4.6
−1.7
2.7
13
Division games53.3−3.12.46
Non-division107.9+1.53.929
Points distribution
15 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
SEASONTEAMGPPGTGTRECYDSTDTGT %AY %SNAP %RZ TGT
2025DEN156.3513732219.9%9.7%37%5
2024DEN177.6523950369.6%8.8%27%6
2023DEN164.7332237717.2%11.1%38%3
W2
@IND
2
2
24
1
18
9.0
7%
12%
36%
0
–
0
10.4
W3@LAC41408822.017%33%44%0–01.4
W4CIN66690213.514%8%40%05.3120.5
W5@PHI521008517.014%27%36%03.613.9
W6@NYJ323005919.712%39%35%0–14.8
W7NYG768509213.114%23%53%13.7115.8
W8DAL100055.04%2%30%0–31.8
W11KC00000–0%0%24%––10.2
W13@WAS2280-2-1.05%-1%33%0–13.7
W14@LV115033.03%1%27%0–17.7
W15GB642906611.019%20%31%03.517.7
W16JAX3326051.77%1%32%0–15.9
W17@KC43100143.511%7%47%1–04.0
W18LAC32100-11-3.713%-42%32%1–03.0
TGT targetsREC receptionsYDS receiving yardsTD receiving touchdownsAIR air yards on targetsaDOT average depth of targetTGT% share of team targetsAY% share of team air yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ TGT red-zone targetsSEP avg separation at target, yards (ngs)CAR carries
