Bo Nix — $1,572 · FFX
QB · DENVER BRONCOS · QB9 · #82 OVERALL
Bo Nix
Why this price: team projection DEN 23.2->24.1 ppg; 21.9 pts last game (219 pass yds, 3 TD)
PRICE · 2024 WEEK 17
$1,872+9.1%1W+108%SINCE '24 DRAFTHIGH $1,872
AGE24Feb 25, 2000
EXPRookiesince 2024
HEIGHT6'2"
WEIGHT217 lb
COLLEGEOregon
DRAFT2024 · 1st rdpick 12
RANKQB9#82 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2024 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKSNAP SHARE99%actual · 17 games What the model expected
2024 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 93 QBSProjected games
11.967th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 39 QBSPASSINGATTCMPCOMP %PASS YDSYDS/ATTPASS TDINTSACKSSACK %AIR YDS
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONSEAN PAYTON
DENVER BRONCOS · 2024 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected8TH OF 32
+0.3%throws more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate11TH OF 32
56%pass-first in a script game
Weekly usage
2024 · 17 GPBoom or bust
2024 · PPR · VS 39 QBSWeeks 20+ pts
772nd
of 17 games
Splits
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONATT/GPASS YDS/G
Home821.2+2.632.8251
Away916.4−2.333.9197
Weeks 1 to 9916.8−1.932.7195
Career
2024–2025 · 2 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRPASS YARDS PER GAME BY SEASON
QB2024 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCMP/ATTYDSTDINTSCKAIRCPOETTTRUSHRYDSRTDPTS
W1@SEA26/42138022264−5.62.84535111.0
W2PIT20/35
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
Pass attempts
30.762nd
projected per game
Passing TDs
1.4480th
projected per game
Interceptions
0.7133rd
projected per game · lower is better
Rush yards
15.980th
projected per game
Points by week
18.7 PPG · 17 GP
EFFICIENCY AND RUSHINGADOTCPOETIME TO THROWAGGR %TO STICKSPASS EPARUSH ATTRUSH YDSRUSH TD
Plays per game17TH OF 32
61.1fewer snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate14TH OF 32
55%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target22ND OF 32
7.3 ydthrows short
EPA per play15TH OF 32
+0.016an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
SEAN PAYTON · CAREERRECORD194–118
WIN %62%
SEASONS18
PLAYOFFS11
Where he sits
2024 · 39 QBS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
9.982nd
10th percentile week
Ceiling
29.279th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
8
20.8
+2.1
34.1
253
Division games622.3+3.733.5249
Non-division1116.7−2.033.3207
Points distribution
17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
SEASONTEAMGPPGATTPASS YDSTDINTSACK %CPOERUSH YDSRUSH TD
2025DEN1717.96123,93125113.5%-2.43565
2024DEN1718.75673,77529124.1%-2.74304
246
0
2
2
325
−9.2
2.79
4
25
0
8.3
W3@TB25/36216000248+0.92.57947119.3
W4@NYJ12/2560100253−17.93.005306.7
W5LV19/27206203144−3.32.8389123.1
W6LAC19/33216212330−6.13.78661020.7
W7@NO16/26164000162−12.53.341075014.1
W8CAR28/37284302396+6.72.9854129.8
W9@BAL19/33223014253−7.43.52636017.7
W10@KC22/30215202233+6.32.643-5016.1
W11ATL28/33307401139+10.12.8425028.8
W12@LV25/42273201288−5.52.6815019.4
W13CLE18/35294120402−7.32.9034012.2
W15IND20/33130331174−12.22.68823013.5
W16@LAC29/40263202117−4.22.78325021.0
W17@CIN24/31219312224+7.02.60731021.9
W18KC26/29321400164+15.32.79747033.5
CMP/ATT completions / attemptsYDS passing yardsTD passing touchdownsINT interceptionsSCK sacks takenAIR passing air yardsCPOE completion % over expected (ngs)TTT avg time to throw, seconds (ngs)RUSH rush attemptsRYDS rushing yardsRTD rushing touchdowns