Isaiah Davis — $323 · FFX
RB · NEW YORK JETS · RB79 · #212 OVERALL · QUESTIONABLE
Isaiah Davis
Why this price: Opening price. Preseason consensus with the model's team and usage priors; no games played yet.
PRICE · 2026 PRESEASON
$213'25 FINAL $323HIGH $213
AGE24Feb 21, 2002
EXP2 yrssince 2024
HEIGHT6'1"
WEIGHT220 lb
COLLEGESouth Dakota State
DRAFT2024 · 5th rdpick 173
RANKRB79#212 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENTOnly the preseason price exists for 2026.
The first weekly reprice is Tuesday after week 1.
See 2025● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
PROJECTED ROLE
PRICED PRESEASON · TREND IS 2025 ACTUALPROJ PPG5.2over 13.7 expected games CARRY SHARE15%projected, of team carries TARGET SHARE6%projected, of team targets
What the price is built on
2026 PRESEASON · PER GAME · VS 169 RBSProjected games
13.783rd
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 97 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONAARON GLENN
NEW YORK JETS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected32ND OF 32
−9.3%runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate32ND OF 32
47%run-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 97 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
00th
of 16 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home92.6−1.93.316
Away76.8+2.45.940
Weeks 1 to 984.8+0.44.528
Career
2024–2025 · 2 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRCARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
RB2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1PIT2189.0000012%10–1.8
W2BUF00
SEASON 6%
· L4 5%
SNAP SHARE–projected, of offensive snaps inherits 3% of NYJ carries (40% vacated, his claim 9%)
Rush yards
20.053rd
projected per game
Targets
1.661st
projected per game
Receptions
1.261st
projected per game
Total TDs
0.1746th
rushing + receiving, per game
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game21ST OF 32
59.4fewer snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate18TH OF 32
50%runs for touchdowns
Average depth of target28TH OF 32
6.8 ydthrows short
EPA per play29TH OF 32
−0.141a struggling offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 58%TE 23%RB 20%
AARON GLENN · CAREERRECORD3–14
WIN %18%
SEASONS1
PLAYOFFS0
Where he sits
2025 · 97 RBS
of 16 games · fewer is better
Floor
0.337th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
11.841st
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
8
4.1
−0.4
4.4
25
Division games52.5−1.93.417
Non-division115.3+0.94.931
Points distribution
16 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
SEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025NYJ164.5432365.51282118628%11
2024NYJ133.5301745.811297510%6
–
0
3
1
6
21%
0
–
–
1.6
W4@MIA393.00221833%10–4.7
W7CAR2105.00422248%00–5.2
W8@CIN7659.30554446%40–17.9
W10CLE3103.3011129%00–2.1
W11@NE2115.5010028%10–1.1
W12@BAL471.8000029%00–0.7
W14MIA22211.0000024%00–2.2
W15@JAX9586.4111738%20–13.5
W16@NO382.70445236%10–10.0
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)