Tyler Shough — $74 · FFX
QB · NEW ORLEANS SAINTS · QB19 · #221 OVERALL
Tyler Shough
Why this price: $26->$74; season avg 12.7->13.6 ppg (weight 32%->33%); team projection NO 18.4->18.8 ppg; 21.9 pts last game (333 pass yds, 2 TD)
PRICE · 2025 WEEK 17
$74+184.6%1W–SINCE '25 DRAFTHIGH $74
AGE25Sep 28, 1999
EXPRookiesince 2025
HEIGHT6'5"
WEIGHT219 lb
COLLEGELouisville
DRAFT2025 · 2nd rdpick 40
RANKQB19#221 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2025 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKSNAP SHARE83%actual · 11 games What the model expected
2025 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 96 QBSProjected games
11.966th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 50 QBSPASSINGATTCMPCOMP %PASS YDSYDS/ATTPASS TDINTSACKSSACK %AIR YDS
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONKELLEN MOORE
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected19TH OF 32
−3.4%runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate17TH OF 32
56%run-first in a script game
Weekly usage
2025 · 11 GPBoom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 50 QBSWeeks 20+ pts
344th
of 11 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONATT/GPASS YDS/G
Home411.9−2.538.5238
Away715.8+1.424.7205
Weeks 1 to 934.5−9.818.7101
2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCMP/ATTYDSTDINTSCKAIRCPOETTTRUSHRYDSRTDPTS
W3@SEA0/2000033––0000.0
W8TB17/30
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
Pass attempts
2.855th
projected per game
Passing TDs
0.1047th
projected per game
Interceptions
0.0648th
projected per game · lower is better
Rush yards
14.072nd
projected per game
Points by week
14.4 PPG · 11 GP
EFFICIENCY AND RUSHINGADOTCPOETIME TO THROWAGGR %TO STICKSPASS EPARUSH ATTRUSH YDSRUSH TD
Plays per game12TH OF 32
62.6more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate10TH OF 32
56%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target10TH OF 32
8.2 ydthrows downfield
EPA per play27TH OF 32
−0.085a struggling offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 63%TE 23%RB 14%
KELLEN MOORE · CAREERRECORD6–11
WIN %35%
SEASONS1
PLAYOFFS0
Where he sits
2025 · 50 QBS
of 11 games · fewer is better
Floor
4.344th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
21.840th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
8
18.1
+3.7
33.9
260
Division games615.4+1.031.2221
Non-division513.1−1.228.0211
Points distribution
11 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
128
0
1
2
241
−9.8
2.48
3
12
0
4.3
W9@LA15/24176111219−2.82.791209.2
W10@CAR19/27282202259+4.43.004-3019.0
W12ATL30/43243015314+0.62.7172207.9
W13@MIA26/38239214269+10.13.04618017.4
W14@TB13/20144013158−8.32.62755221.3
W15CAR24/32272105265+4.92.43832018.1
W16NYJ32/49308103387−5.22.5228017.1
W17@TEN22/27333202282+14.72.6646021.9
W18@ATL23/35259114281−0.42.63334121.8
CMP/ATT completions / attemptsYDS passing yardsTD passing touchdownsINT interceptionsSCK sacks takenAIR passing air yardsCPOE completion % over expected (ngs)TTT avg time to throw, seconds (ngs)RUSH rush attemptsRYDS rushing yardsRTD rushing touchdowns