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PPR · 12 · 1QB
Keaton Mitchell — $367 · FFX
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PPR · 12 · 1QB
RB · BALTIMORE RAVENS · RB63 · #197 OVERALL
· QUESTIONABLE
Keaton Mitchell
Why this price:
$45->$315; model ppg 1.0->3.5 (efficiency / teammates); carry share 10%->17%; 5.8 pts last game (11 car, 20 yds, 0 TD)
PRICE · 2024 WEEK 17
$315
+600.0%
1W
+133%
SINCE '24 DRAFT
HIGH
$315
AGE
22
Jan 17, 2002
EXP
1 yr
since 2023
HEIGHT
5'8"
WEIGHT
191 lb
COLLEGE
East Carolina
DRAFT
UDFA
RANK
RB63
#197 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT
2023
2024
2025
2026
2024 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEK
PPG
1.7
actual · 4 games
CARRY SHARE
9%
actual · 4 games
TARGET SHARE
2%
actual · 4 games
SNAP SHARE
14%
actual · 4 games
What the model expected
2024 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 163 RBS
Projected games
6.1
25th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Carries
2.0
30th
Full season stats
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 132 RBS
RUSHING
CARRIES
CAR/G
RUSH YDS
YPC
RUSH TD
1ST DOWNS
RZ CAR
GL CAR
RYOE/ATT
2024
15
23rd
3.8
39th
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASON
JOHN HARBAUGH
BALTIMORE RAVENS · 2024 · 17 GAMES OF TAPE
RANKED IN ITS OWN SEASON
Pass rate over expected
28TH OF 32
−7.5%
runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate
30TH OF 32
50%
run-first in a script game
Weekly usage
2024 · 4 GP
Snap share
Carries
Targets
Where he sits
2024 · 132 RBS
Boom or bust
2024 · PPR · VS 132 RBS
Weeks 20+ pts
0
0th
of 4 games
Weeks under 10
4
80th
Splits
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PPR
SPLIT
G
PPG
VS SEASON
TOUCH/G
YDS/G
Home
2
0.5
−1.2
2.0
5
Away
2
2.9
+1.2
6.0
24
Weeks 1 to 9
–
–
–
–
–
Career
2023–2025 · 3 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASON
POINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPR
'23: 10.0
10.0
'23
'24: 1.7
1.7
'24
'25: 4.3
4.3
'25
CARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
RB
'23: 6.7
2024 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAY
WK
OPP
CAR
YDS
YPC
TD
TGT
REC
RYDS
SNAP%
RZ
GL
RYOE
PTS
W10
CIN
0
0
–
0
0
0
0
3%
0
–
–
0.0
W11
@PIT
0
0
●
SEASON HIGH
●
SEASON LOW
●
INJURY DESIGNATION
■
BYE
projected per game
Rush yards
8.5
30th
projected per game
Targets
0.8
38th
projected per game
Receptions
0.6
38th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.09
32nd
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
1.7 PPG · 4 GP
30
15th
2.00
2nd
0
0th
2
17th
0
0th
0
0th
−1.93
1st
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCY
TGT
TGT %
REC
REC YDS
SNAP %
EFFIC
8+ BOX %
RUSH EPA
1
9th
1.6%
22nd
1
11th
28
31st
11%
21st
7.15
5th
9.1%
4th
−5.2
43rd
Plays per game
16TH OF 32
61.1
more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate
27TH OF 32
45%
runs for touchdowns
Average depth of target
2ND OF 32
8.7 yd
throws downfield
EPA per play
1ST OF 32
+0.224
an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED
W1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
JOHN HARBAUGH · CAREER
RECORD
193–124
WIN %
61%
SEASONS
18
PLAYOFFS
12
of 4 games · fewer is better
Floor
0.0
5th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
4.4
27th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
4
1.7
0.0
4.0
15
Division games
3
0.3
−1.4
1.3
3
Non-division
1
5.8
+4.1
12.0
48
Points distribution
4 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
0–5: 3
3
0–5
5–10: 1
1
5–10
10–15: 0
0
10–15
15–20: 0
0
15–20
20–25: 0
0
20–25
25–30: 0
0
25–30
30+: 0
0
30+
6.7
'23
'24: 3.8
3.8
'24
'25: 4.5
4.5
'25
SEASON
TEAM
G
PPG
CAR
RUSH YDS
YPC
RUSH TD
TGT
REC
REC YDS
SNAP %
RZ
2025
BAL
13
4.3
59
341
5.8
1
12
9
63
17%
14
2024
BAL
4
1.7
15
30
2.0
0
1
1
28
11%
0
2023
BAL
7
10.0
47
396
8.4
2
11
9
93
25%
5
–
0
0
0
0
3%
0
–
–
0.0
W17
@HOU
11
20
1.8
0
1
1
28
27%
0
0
−1.93
5.8
W18
CLE
4
10
2.5
0
0
0
0
21%
0
0
–
1.0
CAR
carries
YDS
rushing yards
YPC
yards per carry
TD
rushing touchdowns
TGT
targets
REC
receptions
RYDS
receiving yards
SNAP%
offensive snap share
RZ
red-zone carries + targets
GL
goal-line carries
RYOE
rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)