Keaton Mitchell — $367 · FFX
RB · BALTIMORE RAVENS · RB58 · #144 OVERALL · QUESTIONABLE
Keaton Mitchell
Why this price: carry share 20%->18%; team projection BAL 22.0->23.6 ppg; 5.8 pts last game (9 car, 31 yds, 0 TD)
PRICE · 2025 WEEK 17
$367−2.9%1W−8%SINCE '25 DRAFTHIGH $399
AGE23Jan 17, 2002
EXP2 yrssince 2023
HEIGHT5'8"
WEIGHT191 lb
COLLEGEEast Carolina
DRAFTUDFA
RANKRB58#144 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2025 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE15%actual · 13 games TARGET SHARE4%actual · 13 gamesL4 5%
What the model expected
2025 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 168 RBSProjected games
13.642nd
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 106 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONJOHN HARBAUGH
BALTIMORE RAVENS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected31ST OF 32
−8.5%runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate31ST OF 32
49%run-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 106 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
00th
of 13 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home74.2−0.04.428
Away64.3+0.16.735
Weeks 1 to 942.3−1.93.319
Career
2023–2025 · 3 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRCARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
RB2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W5HOU382.701159%10–2.3
W6LA00
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE17%actual · 13 games
Rush yards
22.849th
projected per game
Targets
1.237th
projected per game
Receptions
0.937th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.2343rd
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
4.3 PPG · 13 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game29TH OF 32
56.2fewer snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate32ND OF 32
38%runs for touchdowns
Average depth of target8TH OF 32
8.3 ydthrows downfield
EPA per play12TH OF 32
+0.037an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 52%TE 30%RB 18%
JOHN HARBAUGH · CAREERRECORD193–124
WIN %61%
SEASONS18
PLAYOFFS12
Where he sits
2025 · 106 RBS
of 13 games · fewer is better
Floor
0.442nd
10th percentile week
Ceiling
7.631st
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
9
5.1
+0.8
6.4
37
Division games56.6+2.36.246
Non-division82.8−1.45.022
Points distribution
13 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
SEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025BAL134.3593415.811296317%14
2024BAL41.715302.00112811%0
2023BAL710.0473968.421199325%5
–
0
0
0
0
3%
0
–
–
0.0
W8CHI44310.8000011%10–4.3
W9@MIA4112.8011718%10–2.8
W10@MIN4317.800007%20–3.1
W11@CLE6315.20322326%20–7.4
W12NYJ2105.0011919%10–2.9
W13CIN2199.51321213%10–11.1
W14PIT67612.7000015%00–7.6
W15@CIN8668.3010039%10–6.6
W17@GB9313.4022718%30–5.8
W18@PIT221.0000014%00–0.2
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)