RB · GREEN BAY PACKERS · RB57 · #174 OVERALL · QUESTIONABLE
Emanuel Wilson Why this price: thin edge: 0.7 ppg over the RB line, so small changes swing the price; projection 3.8->4.2 ppg; 8.9 pts last game (6 car, 29 yds, 1 TD)
PRICE · 2024 WEEK 17
$505 +27.8% 1W +1529% SINCE '24 DRAFT HIGH $708
AGE 25 May 8, 1999
EXP 1 yr since 2023
HEIGHT 5'10"
WEIGHT 226 lb
COLLEGE Fort Valley State College
DRAFT UDFA
RANK RB57 #174 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT 2024 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEK CARRY SHARE 20% actual · 17 games TARGET SHARE 3% actual · 17 games L4 2%
What the model expected 2024 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 163 RBS Projected games
13.7 55th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats 2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 99 RBS RUSHING CARRIES CAR/G RUSH YDS YPC RUSH TD 1ST DOWNS RZ CAR GL CAR RYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASON MATT LAFLEUR
GREEN BAY PACKERS · 2024 · 17 GAMES OF TAPE RANKED IN ITS OWN SEASON Pass rate over expected 30TH OF 32
−8.2% runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate 32ND OF 32
46% run-first in a script game
Boom or bust 2024 · PPR · VS 99 RBS Weeks 20+ pts
0 0th
of 17 games
Splits 2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PPR SPLIT G PPG VS SEASON TOUCH/G YDS/G
Home 9 6.2 +0.5 7.9 37
Away 8 5.0 −0.6 5.8 27
Weeks 1 to 9 9 5.7 +0.0 7.4 33
Career 2023–2025 · 3 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASON POINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPR '23: 3.0 3.0 '23 '24: 5.6 5.6 '24 '25: 5.6 5.6 '25
CARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
RB '23: 2.8
2024 game log PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAY WK OPP CAR YDS YPC TD TGT REC RYDS SNAP% RZ GL RYOE PTS
W1 @PHI 4 46 11.5 0 3 2 2 24% 1 0 – 6.8
W2 IND 5 9
Emanuel Wilson — $453 · FFX ● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE 23% actual · 17 games
Rush yards
3.0 14th
projected per game
Targets
0.3 13th
projected per game
Receptions
0.2 13th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.02 11th
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week 5.6 PPG · 17 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCY TGT TGT % REC REC YDS SNAP % EFFIC 8+ BOX % RUSH EPA
Plays per game 24TH OF 32
60.1 fewer snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate 25TH OF 32
46% runs for touchdowns
Average depth of target 4TH OF 32
8.6 yd throws downfield
EPA per play 7TH OF 32
+0.084 an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED W1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
MATT LAFLEUR · CAREER RECORD 79–46–1
WIN % 63%
SEASONS 7
PLAYOFFS 6
Where he sits 2024 · 99 RBS of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
0.9 44th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
13.2 52nd
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
8
5.6
−0.0
6.3
31
Division games 6 6.3 +0.7 6.3 30
Non-division 11 5.3 −0.4 7.2 34
Points distribution 17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS 0–5: 10 10 0–5 5–10: 4 4 5–10 10–15: 2 2 10–15 15–20: 1 1 15–20 20–25: 0 0 20–25 25–30: 0 0 25–30 30+: 0 0 30+
2.8 '23 '24: 6.1 6.1 '24 '25: 7.4 7.4 '25 SEASON TEAM G PPG CAR RUSH YDS YPC RUSH TD TGT REC REC YDS SNAP % RZ
2025 GB 17 5.6 125 496 4.0 3 17 15 99 31% 27
2024 GB 17 5.6 103 502 4.9 4 14 11 48 23% 17
2023 GB 5 3.0 14 85 6.1 0 5 4 23 8% 6
1.8
0
0
0
0
19%
0
0
–
0.9
W3 @TEN 12 50 4.2 0 2 2 35 41% 1 0 +0.04 16.5
W5 @LA 6 24 4.0 0 1 1 -9 25% 2 0 – 2.5
W6 ARI 7 54 7.7 0 2 1 19 32% 0 0 – 8.3
W8 @JAX 4 5 1.3 0 2 2 -2 17% 2 0 – 2.3
W11 @CHI 2 17 8.5 0 0 0 0 7% 0 0 – 1.7
W13 MIA 2 20 10.0 0 0 0 0 7% 0 0 – 2.0
W16 NO 11 52 4.7 1 1 1 4 36% 3 2 +1.57 12.6
W17 @MIN 6 29 4.8 1 0 0 0 32% 3 2 – 8.9
W18 CHI 14 73 5.2 1 1 1 -2 42% 0 0 +0.13 14.1
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)
