Why this price: Questionable/Limited wk17 (Shoulder), played: p_next=0.86; model ppg 14.9->12.7 (efficiency / teammates); team projection BAL 28.4->30.6 ppg
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
JOHN HARBAUGH · CAREER
RECORD193–124
WIN %61%
SEASONS18
PLAYOFFS12
Where he sits
2024 · 159 WRS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
3.678th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
22.281st
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
8
9.4
−2.9
6.1
51
Division games612.5+0.27.769
Non-division1112.2−0.16.459
Points distribution
17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
SEASONTEAMGPPGTGTRECYDSTDTGT %AY %SNAP %RZ TGT
2025BAL1714.3118861,211529.9%36.0%86%13
2024BAL1712.3116741,059425.4%26.5%75%10
2023BAL1612.910877858523.9%23.9%84%19
W2
LV
11
7
91
1
101
9.2
35%
35%
89%
1
4.6
0
22.1
W3@DAL4320000.027%0%67%0–15.3
W4BUF211002311.511%20%68%0–02.0
W5@CIN127111014111.829%37%82%04.6119.0
W6WAS991320424.736%16%72%03.2122.4
W7@TB11110-2-2.05%-1%71%0–14.0
W8@CLE127115019516.334%52%87%02.7018.5
W9DEN6512726210.332%41%53%25.5029.7
W10CIN64340315.219%13%83%05.907.4
W11@PIT623918814.719%29%84%13.3011.9
W12@LAC856208010.038%35%77%24.1011.2
W13PHI7374014220.320%39%94%03.3110.1
W15@NYG76530568.029%22%81%04.7011.3
W16PIT85100011214.035%50%87%02.6115.3
W17@HOU523107915.831%41%65%01.905.1
W18CLE2112031.57%1%20%0–13.1
TGT targetsREC receptionsYDS receiving yardsTD receiving touchdownsAIR air yards on targetsaDOT average depth of targetTGT% share of team targetsAY% share of team air yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ TGT red-zone targetsSEP avg separation at target, yards (ngs)CAR carries
