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PPR · 12 · 1QB
Justice Hill — $0 · FFX
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How it works
PPR · 12 · 1QB
RB · BALTIMORE RAVENS · RB102 · #290 OVERALL
Justice Hill
Why this price:
Out wk17 (Concussion); expected games 1.8->0.2
PRICE · 2024 WEEK 17
$0
−100.0%
1W
−100%
SINCE '24 DRAFT
HIGH
$1,748
AGE
26
Nov 14, 1997
EXP
5 yrs
since 2019
HEIGHT
5'10"
WEIGHT
205 lb
COLLEGE
Oklahoma State
DRAFT
2019 · 4th rd
pick 113
RANK
RB102
#290 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2024 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEK
PPG
8.5
actual · 15 games
L4 10.3
CARRY SHARE
10%
actual · 15 games
L4 8%
TARGET SHARE
13%
actual · 15 games
L4 13%
What the model expected
2024 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 163 RBS
Projected games
13.7
86th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Carries
3.1
44th
Full season stats
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 104 RBS
RUSHING
CARRIES
CAR/G
RUSH YDS
YPC
RUSH TD
1ST DOWNS
RZ CAR
GL CAR
RYOE/ATT
2024
47
32nd
3.1
26th
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASON
JOHN HARBAUGH
BALTIMORE RAVENS · 2024 · 17 GAMES OF TAPE
RANKED IN ITS OWN SEASON
Pass rate over expected
28TH OF 32
−7.5%
runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate
30TH OF 32
50%
run-first in a script game
Weekly usage
2024 · 15 GP
Snap share
Carries
Targets
Boom or bust
2024 · PPR · VS 104 RBS
Weeks 20+ pts
1
59th
of 15 games
Weeks under 10
10
49th
Splits
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PPR
SPLIT
G
PPG
VS SEASON
TOUCH/G
YDS/G
Home
7
6.8
−1.6
6.0
34
Away
8
9.9
+1.4
7.0
47
Weeks 1 to 9
9
8.5
−0.0
6.7
43
Career
2019–2025 · 6 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASON
POINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPR
'19: 3.1
3.1
'19
'20: 1.2
1.2
'20
'22: 2.8
2.8
'22
'23: 6.8
6.8
'23
'24: 8.5
8.5
'24
'25: 6.5
6.5
'25
2024 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAY
WK
OPP
CAR
YDS
YPC
TD
TGT
REC
RYDS
SNAP%
RZ
GL
RYOE
PTS
W1
@KC
1
3
3.0
0
8
6
52
54%
3
0
–
11.5
W2
LV
4
22
●
SEASON HIGH
●
SEASON LOW
●
INJURY DESIGNATION
■
BYE
SNAP SHARE
42%
actual · 15 games
L4 35%
projected per game
Rush yards
13.3
44th
projected per game
Targets
1.7
54th
projected per game
Receptions
1.3
54th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.21
49th
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
8.5 PPG · 15 GP
228
39th
4.85
80th
1
26th
14
41st
7
27th
1
17th
–
–
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCY
TGT
TGT %
REC
REC YDS
SNAP %
EFFIC
8+ BOX %
RUSH EPA
51
81st
13.0%
94th
42
85th
383
89th
42%
61st
–
–
–
–
+0.7
70th
Plays per game
16TH OF 32
61.1
more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate
27TH OF 32
45%
runs for touchdowns
Average depth of target
2ND OF 32
8.7 yd
throws downfield
EPA per play
1ST OF 32
+0.224
an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED
W1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
JOHN HARBAUGH · CAREER
RECORD
193–124
WIN %
61%
SEASONS
18
PLAYOFFS
12
Where he sits
2024 · 104 RBS
of 15 games · fewer is better
Floor
2.2
62nd
10th percentile week
Ceiling
16.4
62nd
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
6
8.5
+0.0
6.3
37
Division games
5
3.9
−4.6
5.2
23
Non-division
10
10.8
+2.3
7.2
50
Points distribution
15 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
0–5: 5
5
0–5
5–10: 5
5
5–10
10–15: 3
3
10–15
15–20: 1
1
15–20
20–25: 1
1
20–25
25–30: 0
0
25–30
30+: 0
0
30+
CARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
RB
'19: 3.6
3.6
'19
'20: 1.1
1.1
'20
'22: 3.3
3.3
'22
'23: 5.3
5.3
'23
'24: 3.1
3.1
'24
'25: 1.8
1.8
'25
SEASON
TEAM
G
PPG
CAR
RUSH YDS
YPC
RUSH TD
TGT
REC
REC YDS
SNAP %
RZ
2025
BAL
10
6.5
18
93
5.2
2
27
21
169
37%
4
2024
BAL
15
8.5
47
228
4.9
1
51
42
383
42%
16
2023
BAL
16
6.8
84
387
4.6
3
39
28
206
41%
28
2022
BAL
15
2.8
49
262
5.3
0
12
12
58
27%
5
2020
BAL
11
1.2
12
60
5.0
0
5
5
20
10%
5
2019
BAL
16
3.1
58
225
3.9
2
15
8
70
17%
13
5.5
0
2
2
10
54%
0
0
–
5.2
W3
@DAL
5
33
6.6
0
2
2
21
41%
0
0
–
7.4
W4
BUF
4
18
4.5
0
6
6
78
35%
2
0
–
21.6
W5
@CIN
5
17
3.4
0
2
1
8
53%
0
0
–
3.5
W6
WAS
1
2
2.0
0
1
1
2
38%
2
0
–
1.4
W7
@TB
5
4
0.8
0
3
3
44
46%
1
0
–
13.8
W8
@CLE
2
5
2.5
0
1
1
14
50%
1
0
–
2.9
W9
DEN
5
15
3.0
0
3
3
43
33%
2
1
–
8.8
W10
CIN
2
-2
-1.0
0
2
2
0
35%
2
0
–
1.8
W11
@PIT
2
13
6.5
0
7
4
28
49%
0
0
–
8.1
W12
@LAC
4
55
13.8
1
2
2
7
40%
0
0
–
14.2
W13
PHI
3
6
2.0
0
6
4
15
50%
1
0
–
6.1
W15
@NYG
2
7
3.5
0
5
5
61
37%
0
0
–
17.8
W16
PIT
2
30
15.0
0
1
0
0
11%
0
0
–
3.0
CAR
carries
YDS
rushing yards
YPC
yards per carry
TD
rushing touchdowns
TGT
targets
REC
receptions
RYDS
receiving yards
SNAP%
offensive snap share
RZ
red-zone carries + targets
GL
goal-line carries
RYOE
rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)