Jahmyr Gibbs — $12,947 · FFX
RB · DETROIT LIONS · RB3 · #3 OVERALL
Jahmyr Gibbs
Why this price: model ppg 21.9->22.0 (efficiency / teammates); team projection DET 27.3->25.8 ppg; season avg 22.7->21.7 ppg (weight 39%->40%)
PRICE · 2025 WEEK 17
$12,947−1.9%1W+42%SINCE '25 DRAFTHIGH $13,214
AGE23Mar 20, 2002
EXP2 yrssince 2023
HEIGHT5'9"
WEIGHT202 lb
COLLEGEAlabama
DRAFT2023 · 1st rdpick 12
RANKRB3#3 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2025 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE57%actual · 17 games TARGET SHARE16%actual · 17 gamesL4 17%
What the model expected
2025 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 168 RBSProjected games
13.747th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 0 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONDAN CAMPBELL
DETROIT LIONS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected25TH OF 32
−4.8%runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate13TH OF 32
57%pass-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 0 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
70th
of 17 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home825.8+4.219.3123
Away917.8−3.820.395
Weeks 1 to 9818.2−3.418.094
Career
2023–2025 · 3 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRCARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
RB2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1@GB9192.1010103166%40–15.0
W2CHI1294
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE67%actual · 17 games
Rush yards
71.198th
projected per game
Targets
4.899th
projected per game
Receptions
3.799th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.8598th
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
21.6 PPG · 17 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game14TH OF 32
61.8more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate16TH OF 32
52%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target30TH OF 32
6.5 ydthrows short
EPA per play6TH OF 32
+0.081an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 61%TE 17%RB 22%
DAN CAMPBELL · CAREERRECORD55–45–1
WIN %54%
SEASONS6
PLAYOFFS2
Where he sits
2025 · 0 RBS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
7.10th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
37.50th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
9
24.6
+3.0
21.4
121
Division games613.1−8.519.074
Non-division1126.2+4.620.3127
Points distribution
17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
SEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025DET1721.62431,2235.013947761667%67
2024DET1721.32501,4125.616635251755%74
2023DET1516.11829455.210715231656%56
7.8
1
3
3
10
56%
5
0
+1.31
19.4
W3@BAL22673.02653269%113−0.9626.9
W4CLE15916.1122662%40+2.4617.7
W5@CIN12544.50223352%60−0.3516.7
W6@KC17653.8021069%42−0.507.5
W7TB171368.02338256%11+3.3936.8
W10@WAS151429.52433050%50+3.2938.2
W11@PHI12393.308510773%31−1.2019.6
W12NYG1521914.6212114574%10+9.6555.4
W13GB20683.40431870%20−0.6611.6
W14DAL12433.63777769%51+0.2137.0
W15@LA13382.90742081%30−1.469.8
W16PIT720.3013106686%62–22.8
W17@MIN17412.40322369%20−0.876.4
W18@CHI19804.20533371%30−0.2020.3
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)