Bijan Robinson — $13,512 · FFX
RB · ATLANTA FALCONS · RB1 · #1 OVERALL
Bijan Robinson
Why this price: team projection ATL 21.4->23.2 ppg; season avg 21.6->22.7 ppg (weight 39%->40%); 39.9 pts last game (22 car, 195 yds, 1 TD)
PRICE · 2025 WEEK 17
$13,512+12.3%1W+35%SINCE '25 DRAFTHIGH $13,512
AGE23Jan 30, 2002
EXP2 yrssince 2023
HEIGHT5'11"
WEIGHT215 lb
COLLEGETexas
DRAFT2023 · 1st rdpick 8
RANKRB1#1 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2025 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE63%actual · 17 games TARGET SHARE20%actual · 17 gamesL4 27%
What the model expected
2025 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 168 RBSProjected games
13.630th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 97 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONRAHEEM MORRIS
ATLANTA FALCONS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected29TH OF 32
−6.3%runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate14TH OF 32
56%pass-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 97 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
997th
of 17 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home822.6+0.822.3138
Away921.1−0.723.6133
Weeks 1 to 9821.1−0.721.3132
Career
2023–2025 · 3 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRCARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
RB2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1TB12242.007610083%42−1.2524.4
W2@MIN22143
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE78%actual · 17 games
Rush yards
86.199th
projected per game
Targets
4.396th
projected per game
Receptions
3.296th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.9199th
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
21.8 PPG · 17 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game17TH OF 32
60.9fewer snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate23RD OF 32
46%runs for touchdowns
Average depth of target17TH OF 32
7.7 ydthrows short
EPA per play24TH OF 32
−0.027a struggling offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 53%TE 25%RB 23%
RAHEEM MORRIS · CAREERRECORD37–56
WIN %40%
SEASONS6
PLAYOFFS0
Where he sits
2025 · 97 RBS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
8.694th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
32.596th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
9
22.4
+0.6
24.4
138
Division games620.4−1.421.7117
Non-division1122.6+0.823.6145
Points distribution
17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
SEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025ATL1721.82871,4785.171037982078%49
2024ATL1720.13041,4564.814726143175%68
2023ATL1714.52149764.64865848768%35
6.5
0
5
3
25
65%
6
0
+1.90
19.8
W3@CAR13725.50653980%00+0.9516.1
W4WAS17754.415410669%50−0.6828.1
W6BUF191708.91866874%20+5.2535.8
W7@SF14402.90865288%30−2.1821.2
W8MIA9252.80332360%10–5.8
W9@NE12463.801085096%30−1.6417.6
W10@IND17844.9022486%10−0.4610.8
W11CAR231044.52543985%43−0.3730.3
W12@NO14705.00223766%21+2.1914.7
W13@NYJ231426.21755187%42+2.1330.3
W14SEA20864.3022867%40−0.649.4
W15@TB19934.911188290%20−0.0929.5
W16@ARI16764.801179270%42+1.8729.8
W17LA221958.91853479%31+5.7839.9
W18NO15332.20331084%10−1.087.3
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)