Isiah Pacheco — $1,041 · FFX
RB · KANSAS CITY CHIEFS · RB40 · #97 OVERALL · QUESTIONABLE
Isiah Pacheco Why this price: thin edge: 1.6 ppg over the RB line, so small changes swing the price; left early? snap share collapsed wk17: p_next=0.61; left early? snaps 73%->35%; model ppg 10.5->10.0 (efficiency / teammates)
PRICE · 2025 WEEK 17
$1,041 −24.8% 1W −44% SINCE '25 DRAFT HIGH $1,844
AGE 26 Mar 2, 1999
EXP 3 yrs since 2022
HEIGHT 5'10"
WEIGHT 210 lb
COLLEGE Rutgers
DRAFT 2022 · 7th rd pick 251
RANK RB40 #97 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT 2025 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEK CARRY SHARE 38% actual · 13 games TARGET SHARE 7% actual · 13 games L4 8%
What the model expected 2025 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 168 RBS Projected games
13.7 70th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats 2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 106 RBS RUSHING CARRIES CAR/G RUSH YDS YPC RUSH TD 1ST DOWNS RZ CAR GL CAR RYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASON ANDY REID
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPE RANKED IN ITS OWN SEASON Pass rate over expected 1ST OF 32
+3.9% throws more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate 9TH OF 32
59% pass-first in a script game
Boom or bust 2025 · PPR · VS 106 RBS Weeks 20+ pts
0 0th
of 13 games
Splits 2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPR SPLIT G PPG VS SEASON TOUCH/G YDS/G
Home 8 6.2 −0.6 11.9 40
Away 5 7.6 +0.9 9.8 48
Weeks 1 to 9 8 7.5 +0.8 11.9 47
Career 2022–2025 · 4 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASON POINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPR '22: 7.9 7.9 '22 '23: 15.3 15.3 '23 '24: 8.1 8.1 '24 '25: 6.7 6.7 '25
CARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
2025 game log PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAY WK OPP CAR YDS YPC TD TGT REC RYDS SNAP% RZ GL RYOE PTS
W1 @LAC 5 25 5.0 0 3 2 3 51% 1 0 – 4.8
W2 PHI 10 22
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE 52% actual · 13 games
Rush yards
37.5 72nd
projected per game
Targets
3.2 91st
projected per game
Receptions
2.5 91st
projected per game
Total TDs
0.46 79th
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week 6.7 PPG · 13 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCY TGT TGT % REC REC YDS SNAP % EFFIC 8+ BOX % RUSH EPA
Plays per game 16TH OF 32
61.6 more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate 15TH OF 32
54% throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target 18TH OF 32
7.7 yd throws short
EPA per play 15TH OF 32
+0.021 an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED W1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
ANDY REID · CAREER RECORD 307–174–1
WIN % 64%
SEASONS 27
PLAYOFFS 20
Where he sits 2025 · 106 RBS
of 13 games · fewer is better
Floor
3.0 67th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
12.7 52nd
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
5
5.4
−1.3
9.8
38
Division games 4 5.6 −1.1 11.3 34
Non-division 9 7.2 +0.5 11.0 48
Points distribution 13 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS 0–5: 5 5 0–5 5–10: 5 5 5–10 10–15: 3 3 10–15 15–20: 0 0 15–20 20–25: 0 0 20–25 25–30: 0 0 25–30 30+: 0 0 30+
RB
'22: 10 10 '22 '23: 14.6 14.6 '23 '24: 11.9 11.9 '24 '25: 9.1 9.1 '25
SEASON TEAM G PPG CAR RUSH YDS YPC RUSH TD TGT REC REC YDS SNAP % RZ
2025 KC 13 6.7 118 462 3.9 1 26 19 101 52% 24
2024 KC 7 8.1 83 310 3.7 1 16 12 79 48% 15
2023 KC 14 15.3 205 935 4.6 7 49 44 244 61% 74
2022 KC 17 7.9 170 830 4.9 5 14 13 130 31% 39
2.2
0
2
1
7
58%
1
0
−1.78
3.9
W3 @NYG 10 45 4.5 0 1 1 3 56% 1 0 +0.12 5.8
W4 BAL 7 35 5.0 0 3 2 13 37% 4 0 – 12.8
W5 @JAX 7 36 5.1 0 3 3 20 62% 0 0 – 8.6
W6 DET 12 51 4.3 0 3 1 0 77% 4 0 +0.16 6.1
W7 LV 15 57 3.8 1 2 1 -3 56% 2 0 −0.71 12.4
W8 WAS 12 58 4.8 0 0 0 0 58% 2 0 −0.07 5.8
W13 @DAL 3 16 5.3 0 2 2 17 30% 0 0 – 5.3
W14 HOU 9 30 3.3 0 0 0 0 33% 0 0 – 3.0
W15 LAC 11 21 1.9 0 0 0 0 46% 5 0 −1.83 2.1
W16 @TEN 8 34 4.3 0 7 6 41 73% 2 0 – 13.5
W17 DEN 9 32 3.6 0 0 0 0 35% 2 0 – 3.2
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)
