Isiah Pacheco — $1,041 · FFX
RB · DETROIT LIONS · RB45 · #129 OVERALL · QUESTIONABLE
Isiah Pacheco
Why this price: Opening price. Preseason consensus with the model's team and usage priors; no games played yet.
PRICE · 2026 PRESEASON
$682'25 FINAL $1,041HIGH $682
AGE27Mar 2, 1999
EXP4 yrssince 2022
HEIGHT5'10"
WEIGHT210 lb
COLLEGERutgers
DRAFT2022 · 7th rdpick 251
RANKRB45#129 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENTOnly the preseason price exists for 2026.
The first weekly reprice is Tuesday after week 1.
See 2025● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
PROJECTED ROLE
PRICED PRESEASON · TREND IS 2025 ACTUALPROJ PPG7.6over 13.6 expected games CARRY SHARE33%projected, of team carries TARGET SHARE6%projected, of team targetsSEASON 7% · L4 8%
What the price is built on
2026 PRESEASON · PER GAME · VS 169 RBSProjected games
13.67th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 106 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONDAN CAMPBELL
DETROIT LIONS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected25TH OF 32
−4.8%runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate13TH OF 32
57%pass-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 106 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
00th
of 13 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home86.2−0.611.940
Away57.6+0.99.848
Weeks 1 to 987.5+0.811.947
Career
2022–2025 · 4 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRCARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1@LAC5255.0032351%10–4.8
W2PHI1022
SNAP SHARE–projected, of offensive snaps inherits 7% of DET carries (39% vacated, his claim 19%)
Rush yards
28.569th
projected per game
Targets
2.278th
projected per game
Receptions
1.880th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.2966th
rushing + receiving, per game
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game14TH OF 32
61.8more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate16TH OF 32
52%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target30TH OF 32
6.5 ydthrows short
EPA per play6TH OF 32
+0.081an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 61%TE 17%RB 22%
DAN CAMPBELL · CAREERRECORD55–45–1
WIN %54%
SEASONS6
PLAYOFFS2
Where he sits
2025 · 106 RBS
of 13 games · fewer is better
Floor
3.067th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
12.752nd
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
5
5.4
−1.3
9.8
38
Division games45.6−1.111.334
Non-division97.2+0.511.048
Points distribution
13 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
RB
SEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025KC136.71184623.91261910152%24
2024KC78.1833103.7116127948%15
2023KC1415.32059354.67494424461%74
2022KC177.91708304.95141313031%39
2.2
0
2
1
7
58%
1
0
−1.78
3.9
W3@NYG10454.5011356%10+0.125.8
W4BAL7355.00321337%40–12.8
W5@JAX7365.10332062%00–8.6
W6DET12514.3031077%40+0.166.1
W7LV15573.8121-356%20−0.7112.4
W8WAS12584.8000058%20−0.075.8
W13@DAL3165.30221730%00–5.3
W14HOU9303.3000033%00–3.0
W15LAC11211.9000046%50−1.832.1
W16@TEN8344.30764173%20–13.5
W17DEN9323.6000035%20–3.2
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)