James Cook — $8,278 · FFX
RB · BUFFALO BILLS · RB14 · #31 OVERALL
James Cook
Why this price: team projection BUF 29.2->25.0 ppg; model ppg 11.8->11.1 (efficiency / teammates); 11.3 pts last game (15 car, 53 yds, 1 TD)
PRICE · 2024 WEEK 17
$5,485−8.6%1W+7%SINCE '24 DRAFTHIGH $6,850
AGE24Sep 25, 1999
EXP2 yrssince 2022
HEIGHT5'11"
WEIGHT190 lb
COLLEGEGeorgia
DRAFT2022 · 2nd rdpick 63
RANKRB14#31 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2024 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE47%actual · 16 games TARGET SHARE8%actual · 16 gamesL4 4%
What the model expected
2024 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 163 RBSProjected games
13.772nd
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 99 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONSEAN MCDERMOTT
BUFFALO BILLS · 2024 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected13TH OF 32
−2.2%throws more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate13TH OF 32
56%pass-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2024 · PPR · VS 99 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
485th
of 16 games
Splits
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home816.3−0.315.677
Away817.0+0.315.081
Weeks 1 to 9816.7+0.016.483
Career
2022–2025 · 4 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRCARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
2024 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1ARI19713.70333261%31−0.6913.3
W2@MIA1178
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE48%actual · 16 games
Rush yards
49.183rd
projected per game
Targets
3.892nd
projected per game
Receptions
2.891st
projected per game
Total TDs
0.6491st
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
16.7 PPG · 16 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game29TH OF 32
59.1fewer snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate26TH OF 32
45%runs for touchdowns
Average depth of target9TH OF 32
8.2 ydthrows downfield
EPA per play2ND OF 32
+0.192an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
SEAN MCDERMOTT · CAREERRECORD106–58
WIN %65%
SEASONS9
PLAYOFFS8
Where he sits
2024 · 99 RBS
of 16 games · fewer is better
Floor
7.387th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
27.995th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
8
16.6
−0.0
14.3
75
Division games517.6+1.013.474
Non-division1116.2−0.416.281
Points distribution
16 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
RB
SEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025BUF1717.83091,6215.212403329157%66
2024BUF1616.72071,0094.916383225848%69
2023BUF1713.72371,1224.72544444555%46
2022BUF166.6895075.72322118025%21
7.1
2
1
1
17
47%
2
1
+3.59
28.5
W3JAX11393.51544850%40−1.3118.7
W4@BAL9394.3011956%00–5.8
W5@HOU20824.11321759%61−0.7417.9
W7TEN12322.7100053%30+0.359.2
W8@SEA171116.52332255%51+2.5528.3
W9MIA10444.40652555%31+1.0111.9
W10@IND19804.2131555%62+0.7115.5
W11KC9202.2265737%31–19.7
W13SF141077.61111345%20+3.8419.0
W14@LA6203.3022945%00–4.9
W15@DET141057.52112841%51+2.4026.3
W16NE111009.11332636%30+4.3427.6
W17NYJ15533.5100046%22−0.3311.3
W18@NE10282.8100022%64−0.548.8
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)