James Cook — $8,278 · FFX
RB · BUFFALO BILLS · RB7 · #11 OVERALL
James Cook
Why this price: Opening price. Preseason consensus with the model's team and usage priors; no games played yet.
PRICE · 2026 PRESEASON
$7,062'25 FINAL $8,278HIGH $7,062
AGE26Sep 25, 1999
EXP4 yrssince 2022
HEIGHT5'11"
WEIGHT190 lb
COLLEGEGeorgia
DRAFT2022 · 2nd rdpick 63
RANKRB7#11 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENTOnly the preseason price exists for 2026.
The first weekly reprice is Tuesday after week 1.
See 2025● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
PROJECTED ROLE
PRICED PRESEASON · TREND IS 2025 ACTUALPROJ PPG16.3over 13.6 expected games CARRY SHARE54%projected, of team carries TARGET SHARE12%projected, of team targets
What the price is built on
2026 PRESEASON · PER GAME · VS 169 RBSProjected games
13.617th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 97 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONSEAN MCDERMOTT
BUFFALO BILLS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected17TH OF 32
−3.1%runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate29TH OF 32
51%run-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 97 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
997th
of 17 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home913.8−3.919.494
Away822.2+4.421.8133
Weeks 1 to 9819.0+1.221.0121
Career
2022–2025 · 4 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRCARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1BAL13443.41555856%42−0.2321.2
W2@NYJ21132
SEASON 8%
· L4 9%
SNAP SHARE–projected, of offensive snaps inherits 2% of BUF targets (23% vacated, his claim 10%)
Rush yards
68.497th
projected per game
Targets
3.694th
projected per game
Receptions
2.794th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.7999th
rushing + receiving, per game
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game9TH OF 32
62.6more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate27TH OF 32
43%runs for touchdowns
Average depth of target23RD OF 32
7.2 ydthrows short
EPA per play2ND OF 32
+0.136an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 56%TE 25%RB 18%
SEAN MCDERMOTT · CAREERRECORD106–58
WIN %65%
SEASONS9
PLAYOFFS8
Where he sits
2025 · 97 RBS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
7.287th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
28.392nd
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
9
16.7
−1.1
20.1
105
Division games615.9−1.917.584
Non-division1118.8+1.022.2128
Points distribution
17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
RB
SEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025BUF1717.83091,6215.212403329157%66
2024BUF1616.72071,0094.916383225848%69
2023BUF1713.72371,1224.72544444555%46
2022BUF166.6895075.72322118025%21
6.3
2
1
1
3
47%
7
1
+2.00
26.5
W3MIA191085.71331067%31+2.2620.8
W4NO221175.31431873%51+0.5622.5
W5NE15493.3010072%30−0.744.9
W6@ATL17875.1000053%10+1.238.7
W8@CAR1921611.4200044%20+6.3433.6
W9KC271144.20111176%32−0.1413.5
W10@MIA13534.10552450%20+0.8510.7
W11TB16483.00336666%20−0.6220.4
W12@HOU171166.81331355%00+2.6521.9
W13@PIT321444.50333361%73+0.0318.7
W14CIN18804.40223175%72+1.2311.1
W15@NE221074.9232467%72+1.4631.1
W16@CLE161177.32211756%41+2.0626.4
W17PHI20743.7041351%21−0.138.7
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)