Breece Hall — $3,913 · FFX
RB · NEW YORK JETS · RB11 · #18 OVERALL · QUESTIONABLE
Breece Hall
Why this price: carry share 64%->60%; team projection NYJ 19.2->20.2 ppg; season avg 15.5->14.8 ppg (weight 38%->39%)
PRICE · 2024 WEEK 17
$6,730−9.8%1W−33%SINCE '24 DRAFTHIGH $10,215
AGE23May 31, 2001
EXP2 yrssince 2022
HEIGHT5'11"
WEIGHT217 lb
COLLEGEIowa State
DRAFT2022 · 2nd rdpick 36
RANKRB11#18 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2024 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE63%actual · 16 games TARGET SHARE14%actual · 16 gamesL4 10%
What the model expected
2024 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 163 RBSProjected games
13.772nd
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 99 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONROBERT SALEH
NEW YORK JETS · 2024 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected4TH OF 32
+2.1%throws more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate7TH OF 32
59%pass-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2024 · PPR · VS 99 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
485th
of 16 games
Splits
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home815.5+0.419.087
Away814.6−0.416.683
Weeks 1 to 9915.5+0.519.692
Career
2022–2025 · 4 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRCARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
2024 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1@SF16543.41653982%22−0.5418.3
W2@TEN1462
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE72%actual · 16 games
Rush yards
68.298th
projected per game
Targets
5.799th
projected per game
Receptions
4.399th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.6992nd
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
15.1 PPG · 16 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game27TH OF 32
59.6fewer snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate1ST OF 32
67%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target29TH OF 32
6.8 ydthrows short
EPA per play17TH OF 32
−0.009a struggling offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
Where he sits
2024 · 99 RBS
of 16 games · fewer is better
Floor
6.283rd
10th percentile week
Ceiling
25.388th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
7
14.4
−0.6
15.6
76
Division games514.9−0.118.493
Non-division1115.1+0.117.581
Points distribution
16 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
RB
SEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025NYJ1613.02431,0654.44483635064%33
2024NYJ1615.12098764.25765748372%35
2023NYJ1717.12239944.55957659159%32
2022NYJ716.4804635.84311921849%20
4.4
0
8
7
52
72%
1
0
+1.20
24.4
W3NE16543.41542971%31+0.2318.3
W4DEN1040.40521469%32−1.623.8
W5@MIN9232.60431474%10–6.7
W6BUF181136.30655687%31+1.5021.9
W7@PIT12383.219610382%21−1.3626.1
W8@NE16805.0031974%51+0.129.9
W9HOU15744.90421176%10+0.2510.5
W10@ARI10525.20443181%20+0.4912.3
W11IND16784.91774384%10+1.2031.1
W13SEA12605.0010062%31−0.326.0
W15@JAX9303.31222148%11–13.1
W16LA14523.70653877%30−0.9714.0
W17@BUF10454.5011849%10−0.656.3
W18MIA12574.80531570%31−0.1618.2
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)