Breece Hall — $3,913 · FFX
RB · NEW YORK JETS · RB17 · #33 OVERALL · QUESTIONABLE
Breece Hall
Why this price: model ppg 13.2->12.8 (efficiency / teammates); team projection NYJ 17.6->15.5 ppg; carry share 60%->56%
PRICE · 2025 WEEK 17
$3,913+1.4%1W−5%SINCE '25 DRAFTHIGH $4,723
AGE24May 31, 2001
EXP3 yrssince 2022
HEIGHT5'11"
WEIGHT217 lb
COLLEGEIowa State
DRAFT2022 · 2nd rdpick 36
RANKRB17#33 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2025 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE58%actual · 16 games TARGET SHARE11%actual · 16 gamesL4 7%
What the model expected
2025 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 168 RBSProjected games
13.761st
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 97 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONAARON GLENN
NEW YORK JETS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected32ND OF 32
−9.3%runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate32ND OF 32
47%run-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 97 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
271st
of 16 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home912.6−0.418.491
Away713.5+0.517.985
Weeks 1 to 9813.9+0.918.495
Career
2022–2025 · 4 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRCARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1PIT191075.60423858%21+1.4716.5
W2BUF1029
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE64%actual · 16 games
Rush yards
57.892nd
projected per game
Targets
3.692nd
projected per game
Receptions
2.792nd
projected per game
Total TDs
0.4984th
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
13.0 PPG · 16 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game21ST OF 32
59.4fewer snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate18TH OF 32
50%runs for touchdowns
Average depth of target28TH OF 32
6.8 ydthrows short
EPA per play29TH OF 32
−0.141a struggling offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 58%TE 23%RB 20%
AARON GLENN · CAREERRECORD3–14
WIN %18%
SEASONS1
PLAYOFFS0
Where he sits
2025 · 97 RBS
of 16 games · fewer is better
Floor
5.878th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
20.275th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
8
12.1
−0.9
18.0
82
Division games511.1−1.916.277
Non-division1113.8+0.919.194
Points distribution
16 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
RB
SEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025NYJ1613.02431,0654.44483635064%33
2024NYJ1615.12098764.25765748372%35
2023NYJ1717.12239944.55957659159%32
2022NYJ716.4804635.84311921849%20
2.9
0
3
2
9
64%
0
0
−1.61
5.8
W3@TB9212.30643155%20–9.2
W4@MIA14815.80653063%10+0.7816.1
W5DAL141138.10544262%31+2.8417.5
W6DEN22592.7000074%00+0.115.9
W7CAR11383.50321454%10−1.467.2
W8@CIN181337.42321456%61+2.9532.9
W10CLE21834.00114271%30+1.9419.5
W11@NE14584.1022672%10+0.378.4
W12@BAL16442.80447571%20−0.6113.9
W13ATL19683.6122888%41−0.2915.6
W14MIA14433.1010076%30−1.074.3
W15@JAX12231.90221454%10−0.515.7
W16@NO16543.4032964%20−0.228.3
W17NE141117.91321848%20+3.5720.9
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)