Bijan Robinson — $13,512 · FFX
RB · ATLANTA FALCONS · RB3 · #3 OVERALL
Bijan Robinson
Why this price: team projection ATL 23.5->27.0 ppg; model ppg 19.2->20.8 (efficiency / teammates); carry share 63%->66%
PRICE · 2024 WEEK 17
$12,684+11.1%1W+31%SINCE '24 DRAFTHIGH $12,684
AGE22Jan 30, 2002
EXP1 yrsince 2023
HEIGHT5'11"
WEIGHT215 lb
COLLEGETexas
DRAFT2023 · 1st rdpick 8
RANKRB3#3 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2024 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE63%actual · 17 games TARGET SHARE14%actual · 17 gamesL4 12%
What the model expected
2024 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 163 RBSProjected games
13.772nd
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 99 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONRAHEEM MORRIS
ATLANTA FALCONS · 2024 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected29TH OF 32
−8.1%runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate16TH OF 32
55%pass-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2024 · PPR · VS 99 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
1099th
of 17 games
Splits
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home919.7−0.423.1113
Away820.6+0.521.0109
Weeks 1 to 9917.9−2.219.7104
Career
2023–2025 · 3 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRCARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
RB2024 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1PIT18683.80554389%20−0.5316.1
W2@PHI1497
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE75%actual · 17 games
Rush yards
63.696th
projected per game
Targets
5.498th
projected per game
Receptions
4.198th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.7795th
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
20.1 PPG · 17 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game8TH OF 32
63.1more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate29TH OF 32
42%runs for touchdowns
Average depth of target16TH OF 32
7.8 ydthrows downfield
EPA per play12TH OF 32
+0.023an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
RAHEEM MORRIS · CAREERRECORD37–56
WIN %40%
SEASONS6
PLAYOFFS0
Where he sits
2024 · 99 RBS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
11.196th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
27.192nd
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
8
22.5
+2.4
24.9
119
Division games622.0+1.920.3113
Non-division1119.1−1.023.1110
Points distribution
17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
SEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025ATL1721.82871,4785.171037982078%49
2024ATL1720.13041,4564.814726143175%68
2023ATL1714.52149764.64865848768%35
6.9
0
5
4
25
75%
1
1
+1.64
16.2
W3KC16311.91222182%41−1.3913.2
W4NO7284.00444664%00–11.4
W5TB12615.10331667%30+1.4510.7
W6@CAR15956.32431056%51+1.7825.5
W7SEA211034.91534068%61+1.2823.3
W8@TB13634.80774368%10+0.1623.6
W9DAL19864.50775974%50+0.2221.5
W10@NO201165.82432878%21+1.8829.4
W11@DEN12352.90442871%10−0.3810.3
W13LAC261023.91663375%52−0.7325.5
W14@MIN22924.2122985%92+0.5020.1
W15@LV221255.70211076%00+1.9414.5
W16NYG22944.3222975%82+0.5324.3
W17@WAS17905.3253891%64+1.4624.8
W18CAR281706.1252387%103+1.2131.3
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)