Why this price: thin edge: 0.3 ppg over the WR line, so small changes swing the price; Questionable/Limited wk17 (Hamstring), played: p_next=0.86; 2.0 pts last game (1/2 for 10 yds, 0 TD)
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 59%TE 23%RB 18%
MIKE VRABEL · CAREER
RECORD73–51
WIN %59%
SEASONS7
PLAYOFFS4
Where he sits
2025 · 163 WRS
of 16 games · fewer is better
Floor
1.763rd
10th percentile week
Ceiling
12.250th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
8
4.1
−1.9
2.0
23
Division games63.2−2.82.017
Non-division107.7+1.73.435
Points distribution
16 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
SEASONTEAMGPPGTGTRECYDSTDTGT %AY %SNAP %RZ TGT
2025NE166.0463144739.8%10.1%26%8
2024NE169.28766621318.5%13.7%63%6
2023NE147.77949561017.9%22.2%57%4
W2
@MIA
1
1
8
0
5
5.0
4%
4%
25%
0
–
0
1.8
W3PIT5270275.414%13%39%06.902.7
W5@BUF32170124.011%6%28%1–03.7
W6@NO437115313.317%19%25%0–016.1
W7@TEN33170144.713%7%23%1–04.7
W8CLE114402424.04%9%21%0–25.7
W9ATL64100113422.321%43%24%11.3020.0
W10@TB2234052.57%1%21%0–15.4
W11NYJ33360175.79%4%28%0–16.1
W12@CIN113703636.03%12%17%0–16.1
W13NYG33330237.710%9%34%1–06.3
W15BUF00000–0%0%19%––10.5
W16@BAL216063.05%1%18%0–01.6
W17@NYJ21100199.58%9%14%0–02.0
W18MIA322904816.015%19%25%0–04.9
TGT targetsREC receptionsYDS receiving yardsTD receiving touchdownsAIR air yards on targetsaDOT average depth of targetTGT% share of team targetsAY% share of team air yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ TGT red-zone targetsSEP avg separation at target, yards (ngs)CAR carries
