Bo Nix — $1,572 · FFX
QB · DENVER BRONCOS · QB7 · #67 OVERALL
Bo Nix Why this price: thin edge: 1.9 ppg over the QB line, so small changes swing the price; team projection DEN 23.9->24.9 ppg; 19.5 pts last game (182 pass yds, 1 TD)
PRICE · 2025 WEEK 17
$1,572 +17.3% 1W +15% SINCE '25 DRAFT HIGH $1,729
AGE 25 Feb 25, 2000
EXP 1 yr since 2024
HEIGHT 6'2"
WEIGHT 217 lb
COLLEGE Oregon
DRAFT 2024 · 1st rd pick 12
RANK QB7 #67 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT 2025 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEK SNAP SHARE 100% actual · 17 games
What the model expected 2025 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 96 QBS Projected games
14.2 95th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats 2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 37 QBS PASSING ATT CMP COMP % PASS YDS YDS/ATT PASS TD INT SACKS SACK % AIR YDS
The offense he plays in PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASON SEAN PAYTON
DENVER BRONCOS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPE RANKED IN ITS OWN SEASON Pass rate over expected 7TH OF 32
+1.4% throws more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate 8TH OF 32
59% pass-first in a script game
Weekly usage 2025 · 17 GP
Boom or bust 2025 · PPR · VS 37 QBS Weeks 20+ pts
5 62nd
of 17 games
Splits 2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPR SPLIT G PPG VS SEASON ATT/G PASS YDS/G
Home 9 18.8 +0.9 36.7 252
Away 8 16.9 −1.0 35.3 208
Weeks 1 to 9 9 20.0 +2.0 35.8 220
Career 2024–2025 · 2 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASON POINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPR '24: 18.7 18.7 '24 '25: 17.9 17.9 '25
PASS YARDS PER GAME BY SEASON
QB '24: 222 222 '24 '25: 231
2025 game log PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAY WK OPP CMP/ATT YDS TD INT SCK AIR CPOE TTT RUSH RYDS RTD PTS
W1 TEN 25/40 176 1 2 1 213 −1.2 2.83 8 18 0 6.8
W2 @IND 22/30
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
Pass attempts
35.6 89th
projected per game
Passing TDs
1.77 96th
projected per game
Interceptions
0.80 13th
projected per game · lower is better
Rush yards
20.4 90th
projected per game
Points by week 17.9 PPG · 17 GP
EFFICIENCY AND RUSHING ADOT CPOE TIME TO THROW AGGR % TO STICKS PASS EPA RUSH ATT RUSH YDS RUSH TD
Plays per game 4TH OF 32
63.5 more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate 5TH OF 32
59% throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target 22ND OF 32
7.3 yd throws short
EPA per play 11TH OF 32
+0.043 an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED W1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
SEAN PAYTON · CAREER RECORD 194–118
WIN % 62%
SEASONS 18
PLAYOFFS 11
Where he sits 2025 · 37 QBS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
9.1 70th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
27.1 73rd
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
8
15.6
−2.3
36.3
244
Division games 6 13.0 −5.0 31.5 189
Non-division 11 20.6 +2.7 38.5 254
Points distribution 17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS 0–5: 0 0 0–5 5–10: 2 2 5–10 10–15: 4 4 10–15 15–20: 6 6 15–20 20–25: 2 2 20–25 25–30: 2 2 25–30 30+: 1 1 30+
231 '25 SEASON TEAM G PPG ATT PASS YDS TD INT SACK % CPOE RUSH YDS RUSH TD
2025 DEN 17 17.9 612 3,931 25 11 3.5% -2.4 356 5
2024 DEN 17 18.7 567 3,775 29 12 4.1% -2.7 430 4
206
3
1
0
147
−0.7
2.65
3
20
0
20.2
W3 @LAC 14/25 153 1 0 2 269 −7.8 2.75 8 33 0 13.4
W4 CIN 29/42 326 2 1 0 280 −5.3 2.77 6 7 1 25.7
W5 @PHI 24/39 242 1 0 2 318 +1.0 2.68 3 22 0 17.9
W6 @NYJ 19/30 174 1 0 1 153 +4.5 2.62 5 24 0 13.4
W7 NYG 27/50 279 2 0 2 393 −8.9 2.67 5 48 2 40.0
W8 DAL 19/29 247 4 1 0 299 +2.3 2.70 1 -1 0 23.8
W9 @HOU 18/37 173 2 1 1 441 −9.9 2.86 3 36 0 18.5
W10 LV 16/28 150 1 2 1 247 −12.9 2.94 5 -2 0 5.8
W11 KC 24/37 295 0 0 2 317 +4.6 3.11 3 8 0 12.6
W13 @WAS 29/45 321 1 1 1 189 −6.5 3.29 2 16 0 16.4
W14 @LV 31/38 212 0 0 3 216 +15.3 2.95 3 15 1 16.0
W15 GB 23/34 302 4 0 0 323 +15.1 3.32 7 10 0 29.1
W16 JAX 28/47 352 1 1 1 449 −7.6 2.91 4 11 0 15.2
W17 @KC 26/38 182 1 1 1 206 −0.5 2.83 9 42 1 19.5
W18 LAC 14/23 141 0 0 4 26 −19.3 2.60 8 49 0 10.5
CMP/ATT completions / attemptsYDS passing yardsTD passing touchdownsINT interceptionsSCK sacks takenAIR passing air yardsCPOE completion % over expected (ngs)TTT avg time to throw, seconds (ngs)RUSH rush attemptsRYDS rushing yardsRTD rushing touchdowns
