Caleb Williams — $1,475 · FFX
QB · CHICAGO BEARS · QB17 · #117 OVERALL
Caleb Williams
Why this price: team projection CHI 19.4->16.6 ppg; model ppg 15.5->14.6 (efficiency / teammates); season avg 15.8->15.2 ppg (weight 39%->40%)
PRICE · 2024 WEEK 17
$1,136−14.2%1W−15%SINCE '24 DRAFTHIGH $1,335
AGE22Nov 18, 2001
EXPRookiesince 2024
HEIGHT6'1"
WEIGHT226 lb
COLLEGEUSC
DRAFT2024 · 1st rdpick 1
RANKQB17#117 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2024 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKSNAP SHARE99%actual · 17 games What the model expected
2024 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 93 QBSProjected games
14.185th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 39 QBSPASSINGATTCMPCOMP %PASS YDSYDS/ATTPASS TDINTSACKSSACK %AIR YDS
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONMATT EBERFLUS
CHICAGO BEARS · 2024 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected17TH OF 32
−2.5%runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate12TH OF 32
56%pass-first in a script game
Weekly usage
2024 · 17 GPBoom or bust
2024 · PPR · VS 39 QBSWeeks 20+ pts
564th
of 17 games
Splits
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONATT/GPASS YDS/G
Home916.6+1.731.8214
Away813.1−1.934.5202
Weeks 1 to 9814.3−0.633.0208
Career
2024–2025 · 2 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRPASS YARDS PER GAME BY SEASON
QB2024 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCMP/ATTYDSTDINTSCKAIRCPOETTTRUSHRYDSRTDPTS
W1TEN14/2993002214−18.42.7151507.2
W2@HOU23/37
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
Pass attempts
31.364th
projected per game
Passing TDs
1.3573rd
projected per game
Interceptions
0.7227th
projected per game · lower is better
Rush yards
26.993rd
projected per game
Points by week
15.0 PPG · 17 GP
EFFICIENCY AND RUSHINGADOTCPOETIME TO THROWAGGR %TO STICKSPASS EPARUSH ATTRUSH YDSRUSH TD
Plays per game12TH OF 32
62.3more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate4TH OF 32
62%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target15TH OF 32
7.8 ydthrows downfield
EPA per play26TH OF 32
−0.083a struggling offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
Where he sits
2024 · 39 QBS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
7.051st
10th percentile week
Ceiling
26.472nd
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
9
15.5
+0.6
33.1
208
Division games618.8+3.836.2250
Non-division1112.9−2.131.4186
Points distribution
17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
SEASONTEAMGPPGATTPASS YDSTDINTSACK %CPOERUSH YDSRUSH TD
2025CHI1718.75683,9422774.1%-7.33883
2024CHI1715.05623,54120610.8%-1.24890
174
0
2
7
285
−2.7
2.59
5
44
0
7.4
W3@IND33/52363224539+2.22.8218017.3
W4LA17/23157103144+10.82.98512011.5
W5CAR20/29304201208−1.22.94534023.6
W6JAX23/29226413106+12.52.83456028.6
W8@WAS10/24131003314−11.23.1994709.9
W9@ARI22/41217006369−5.53.304509.2
W10NE16/30120009187−7.42.7921506.3
W11GB23/31231003212+4.02.42970016.2
W12MIN32/47340203329−1.52.42633026.9
W13@DET20/39256305524−6.53.41439026.1
W14@SF17/23134207137−1.32.86427014.1
W15@MIN18/31191102235−5.73.284309.9
W16DET26/40334202365+6.63.17634022.8
W17SEA16/28122017202−4.82.8353706.6
W18@GB21/29148101116+10.43.19310010.9
CMP/ATT completions / attemptsYDS passing yardsTD passing touchdownsINT interceptionsSCK sacks takenAIR passing air yardsCPOE completion % over expected (ngs)TTT avg time to throw, seconds (ngs)RUSH rush attemptsRYDS rushing yardsRTD rushing touchdowns