Caleb Williams — $1,475 · FFX
QB · CHICAGO BEARS · QB8 · #72 OVERALL
Caleb Williams Why this price: thin edge: 1.8 ppg over the QB line, so small changes swing the price; team projection CHI 25.0->27.2 ppg; 23.0 pts last game (330 pass yds, 2 TD)
PRICE · 2025 WEEK 17
$1,475 +41.7% 1W +155% SINCE '25 DRAFT HIGH $1,671
AGE 23 Nov 18, 2001
EXP 1 yr since 2024
HEIGHT 6'1"
WEIGHT 226 lb
COLLEGE USC
DRAFT 2024 · 1st rd pick 1
RANK QB8 #72 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT 2025 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEK SNAP SHARE 99% actual · 17 games
What the model expected 2025 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 96 QBS Projected games
14.1 79th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats 2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 37 QBS PASSING ATT CMP COMP % PASS YDS YDS/ATT PASS TD INT SACKS SACK % AIR YDS
The offense he plays in PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASON BEN JOHNSON
CHICAGO BEARS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPE RANKED IN ITS OWN SEASON Pass rate over expected 20TH OF 32
−3.9% runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate 22ND OF 32
54% run-first in a script game
Weekly usage 2025 · 17 GP
Boom or bust 2025 · PPR · VS 37 QBS Weeks 20+ pts
8 84th
of 17 games
Splits 2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPR SPLIT G PPG VS SEASON ATT/G PASS YDS/G
Home 8 20.2 +1.4 31.9 230
Away 9 17.5 −1.3 34.8 233
Weeks 1 to 9 8 19.7 +1.0 32.1 240
Career 2024–2025 · 2 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASON POINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPR '24: 15.0 15.0 '24 '25: 18.7 18.7 '25
PASS YARDS PER GAME BY SEASON
QB '24: 208 208 '24 '25: 232
2025 game log PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAY WK OPP CMP/ATT YDS TD INT SCK AIR CPOE TTT RUSH RYDS RTD PTS
W1 MIN 21/35 210 1 0 2 263 −13.5 3.04 6 58 1 24.2
W2 @DET 19/30
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
Pass attempts
36.2 92nd
projected per game
Passing TDs
1.39 75th
projected per game
Interceptions
0.68 35th
projected per game · lower is better
Rush yards
21.4 93rd
projected per game
Points by week 18.7 PPG · 17 GP
EFFICIENCY AND RUSHING ADOT CPOE TIME TO THROW AGGR % TO STICKS PASS EPA RUSH ATT RUSH YDS RUSH TD
Plays per game 2ND OF 32
64.5 more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate 25TH OF 32
46% runs for touchdowns
Average depth of target 4TH OF 32
8.7 yd throws downfield
EPA per play 7TH OF 32
+0.078 an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTED W1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
BEN JOHNSON · CAREER RECORD 12–7
WIN % 63%
SEASONS 1
PLAYOFFS 1
Where he sits 2025 · 37 QBS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
10.0 76th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
26.7 65th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
9
17.9
−0.9
34.6
225
Division games 6 17.3 −1.4 33.2 210
Non-division 11 19.5 +0.8 33.5 244
Points distribution 17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS 0–5: 1 1 0–5 5–10: 1 1 5–10 10–15: 4 4 10–15 15–20: 3 3 15–20 20–25: 5 5 20–25 25–30: 2 2 25–30 30+: 1 1 30+
232 '25 SEASON TEAM G PPG ATT PASS YDS TD INT SACK % CPOE RUSH YDS RUSH TD
2025 CHI 17 18.7 568 3,942 27 7 4.1% -7.3 388 3
2024 CHI 17 15.0 562 3,541 20 6 10.8% -1.2 489 0
207
2
1
4
302
−3.1
3.16
5
27
0
17.0
W3 DAL 19/28 298 4 0 0 250 −9.0 3.20 5 12 0 29.1
W4 @LV 22/37 212 1 1 1 246 −13.9 3.30 8 13 0 11.8
W6 @WAS 17/29 252 1 0 3 246 −8.5 2.65 4 3 1 20.4
W7 NO 15/26 172 0 1 1 220 −8.6 3.74 4 -2 0 4.7
W8 @BAL 25/38 285 0 1 1 310 +5.7 3.11 3 24 0 11.8
W9 @CIN 20/34 280 3 0 2 285 −2.5 3.77 5 53 0 38.7
W10 NYG 20/36 220 1 0 0 345 −13.6 3.43 8 63 1 25.1
W11 @MIN 16/32 193 0 0 2 385 −9.0 3.53 4 26 0 10.3
W12 PIT 19/35 239 3 0 1 328 −10.6 2.68 4 21 0 21.7
W13 @PHI 17/36 154 1 1 2 252 −15.0 2.65 5 13 0 9.5
W14 @GB 19/35 186 2 1 1 298 −2.8 3.74 4 15 0 14.9
W15 CLE 17/28 242 2 0 3 275 −6.7 3.07 3 13 0 19.0
W16 GB 19/34 250 2 0 0 331 +0.4 3.13 3 30 0 21.0
W17 @SF 25/42 330 2 0 0 303 −5.5 3.18 5 18 0 23.0
W18 DET 20/33 212 2 1 1 260 −1.2 2.99 1 1 0 16.6
CMP/ATT completions / attemptsYDS passing yardsTD passing touchdownsINT interceptionsSCK sacks takenAIR passing air yardsCPOE completion % over expected (ngs)TTT avg time to throw, seconds (ngs)RUSH rush attemptsRYDS rushing yardsRTD rushing touchdowns
