Chuba Hubbard — $1,482 · FFX
RB · CAROLINA PANTHERS · RB10 · #12 OVERALL · QUESTIONABLE
Chuba Hubbard
Why this price: season avg 14.9->16.1 ppg (weight 38%->39%); 32.5 pts last game (25 car, 152 yds, 2 TD)
PRICE · 2024 WEEK 16
$8,052+14.1%1W+342%SINCE '24 DRAFTHIGH $8,052
AGE25Jun 11, 1999
EXP3 yrssince 2021
HEIGHT6'1"
WEIGHT216 lb
COLLEGEOklahoma State
DRAFT2021 · 4th rdpick 126
RANKRB10#12 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2024 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE68%actual · 15 games TARGET SHARE12%actual · 15 gamesL4 13%
What the model expected
2024 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 163 RBSProjected games
13.764th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 104 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONDAVE CANALES
CAROLINA PANTHERS · 2024 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected18TH OF 32
−2.6%runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate22ND OF 32
54%run-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2024 · PPR · VS 104 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
692nd
of 15 games
Splits
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home917.1+1.021.195
Away614.6−1.519.085
Weeks 1 to 9915.3−0.918.086
Career
2021–2025 · 5 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPR
2024 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1@NO6142.3000054%00–1.4
W2LAC1064
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE77%actual · 15 games
Rush yards
41.977th
projected per game
Targets
2.369th
projected per game
Receptions
1.873rd
projected per game
Total TDs
0.3869th
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
16.1 PPG · 15 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game32ND OF 32
58.1fewer snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate10TH OF 32
57%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target13TH OF 32
8.0 ydthrows downfield
EPA per play25TH OF 32
−0.078a struggling offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
DAVE CANALES · CAREERRECORD13–22
WIN %37%
SEASONS2
PLAYOFFS1
Where he sits
2024 · 104 RBS
of 15 games · fewer is better
Floor
4.976th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
26.790th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
6
17.4
+1.3
23.7
99
Division games410.0−6.115.058
Non-division1118.3+2.222.2103
Points distribution
15 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
CARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
RBSEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025CAR158.41345113.81393022346%29
2024CAR1516.12501,1954.810544317177%57
2023CAR1710.72389023.85443923360%37
2022CAR146.4954664.92171417131%17
2021CAR168.61726123.65372517439%27
6.4
0
5
4
12
58%
0
0
+0.68
11.6
W3@LV211145.40555558%50+1.5727.9
W4CIN181045.81441774%65+2.2622.1
W5@CHI13977.5144-265%10+3.6917.5
W6ATL18925.10651182%50+0.7915.3
W7@WAS17523.1100084%21−1.2811.2
W8@DEN15563.70221574%20+0.689.1
W9NO15724.8232079%53+0.9521.2
W10NYG281535.51641688%52+2.6124.9
W12KC16583.6151289%114+0.4315.0
W13TB12433.6000079%10−0.052.3
W14@PHI26923.51541597%83+0.0720.7
W15DAL10323.20441795%00−1.408.9
W16ARI251526.12541384%64+2.9632.5
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)