RB · DENVER BRONCOS · RB30 · #79 OVERALL
Javonte Williams
Why this price: model ppg 12.1->9.5 (efficiency / teammates); carry share 39%->35%; 2.0 pts last game (2/2 for 0 yds, 0 TD)
PRICE · 2024 WEEK 17
$1,994−25.0%1W−25%SINCE '24 DRAFTHIGH $3,719
AGE24Apr 25, 2000
EXP3 yrssince 2021
HEIGHT5'10"
WEIGHT220 lb
COLLEGENorth Carolina
DRAFT2021 · 2nd rdpick 35
RANKRB30#79 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2024 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE32%actual · 17 games TARGET SHARE13%actual · 17 gamesL4 14%
What the model expected
2024 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 163 RBSProjected games
13.786th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 99 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONSEAN PAYTON
DENVER BRONCOS · 2024 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected8TH OF 32
+0.3%throws more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate11TH OF 32
56%pass-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2024 · PPR · VS 99 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
157th
of 17 games
Splits
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home810.3+1.013.457
Away98.4−0.911.345
Weeks 1 to 9910.8+1.515.467
Career
2021–2025 · 5 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPR
2024 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1@SEA8232.9021052%40–3.3
W2PIT1117
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE52%actual · 17 games
Rush yards
42.778th
projected per game
Targets
3.589th
projected per game
Receptions
2.889th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.3973rd
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
9.3 PPG · 17 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game17TH OF 32
61.1fewer snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate14TH OF 32
55%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target22ND OF 32
7.3 ydthrows short
EPA per play15TH OF 32
+0.016an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
SEAN PAYTON · CAREERRECORD194–118
WIN %62%
SEASONS18
PLAYOFFS11
Where he sits
2024 · 99 RBS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
2.666th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
17.162nd
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
8
7.6
−1.7
8.8
32
Division games68.2−1.111.748
Non-division119.9+0.612.652
Points distribution
17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
CARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
RBSEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025DAL1615.22521,2014.811513513769%66
2024DEN179.31395133.74705234652%32
2023DEN1611.22177743.63584722848%49
2022DEN410.5472044.3022167653%11
2021DEN1712.12039034.44534331651%39
1.5
0
5
5
48
66%
2
0
−3.27
11.5
W3@TB5122.40442951%32–6.1
W4@NYJ16774.8032357%00+0.8010.0
W5LV13614.70655063%22+1.1316.1
W6LAC6233.80631367%00–4.6
W7@NO14886.32332363%41+0.3126.1
W8CAR17442.6054858%32−1.429.2
W9@BAL12423.50324254%31−0.6610.4
W11ATL9596.61542852%20–18.7
W12@LV8-2-0.3042656%30–2.4
W15IND6152.5032854%00–4.3
W16@LAC4246.001172952%10–12.3
W18KC5285.60435031%20–10.8
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)