Javonte Williams — $3,697 · FFX
RB · DALLAS COWBOYS · RB18 · #34 OVERALL
Javonte Williams
Why this price: carry share 59%->54%; model ppg 12.0->11.3 (efficiency / teammates); team projection DAL 27.8->26.9 ppg
PRICE · 2025 WEEK 17
$3,697−9.1%1W+167%SINCE '25 DRAFTHIGH $5,954
AGE25Apr 25, 2000
EXP4 yrssince 2021
HEIGHT5'10"
WEIGHT220 lb
COLLEGENorth Carolina
DRAFT2021 · 2nd rdpick 35
RANKRB18#34 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2025 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE62%actual · 16 games TARGET SHARE9%actual · 16 gamesL4 6%
What the model expected
2025 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 168 RBSProjected games
13.770th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 97 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONBRIAN SCHOTTENHEIMER
DALLAS COWBOYS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected12TH OF 32
−0.9%throws more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate15TH OF 32
56%pass-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 97 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
379th
of 16 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home815.1−0.119.693
Away815.3+0.118.374
Weeks 1 to 9917.3+2.119.390
Career
2021–2025 · 5 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPR
2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1@PHI15543.62321077%32+0.1520.4
W2NYG1897
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE69%actual · 16 games
Rush yards
40.377th
projected per game
Targets
2.879th
projected per game
Receptions
2.281st
projected per game
Total TDs
0.3363rd
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
15.2 PPG · 16 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game1ST OF 32
64.9more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate12TH OF 32
55%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target11TH OF 32
8.2 ydthrows downfield
EPA per play5TH OF 32
+0.096an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 64%TE 23%RB 13%
BRIAN SCHOTTENHEIMER · CAREERRECORD7–9–1
WIN %41%
SEASONS1
PLAYOFFS0
Where he sits
2025 · 97 RBS
of 16 games · fewer is better
Floor
7.889th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
22.782nd
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
7
12.4
−2.8
18.4
76
Division games517.5+2.420.893
Non-division1114.1−1.118.179
Points distribution
16 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
CARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
RBSEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025DAL1615.22521,2014.811513513769%66
2024DEN179.31395133.74705234652%32
2023DEN1611.22177743.63584722848%49
2022DEN410.5472044.3022167653%11
2021DEN1712.12039034.44534331651%39
5.4
1
7
6
33
72%
2
0
+1.59
25.0
W3@CHI10767.60551659%20+2.5212.2
W4GB20854.31331580%64+0.2619.0
W5@NYJ161358.4121477%51+4.5026.9
W6@CAR13292.2085585%60−2.118.4
W7WAS191166.1141269%51+2.0118.8
W8@DEN13413.2221872%54−0.7617.9
W9ARI15835.5011087%41+0.887.3
W11@LV22934.2011078%51−0.4210.3
W12PHI20874.30321478%51−0.0212.1
W13KC17593.50332178%50−0.5117.0
W14@DET17673.9142079%42−0.7114.7
W15MIN15916.1100029%42+2.0415.1
W16LAC9343.8032957%10–6.3
W17@WAS13544.2120027%41+0.7411.4
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)