Chase Brown — $7,262 · FFX
RB · CINCINNATI BENGALS · RB7 · #11 OVERALL
Chase Brown
Why this price: season avg 15.6->16.5 ppg (weight 39%->40%); 29.1 pts last game (22 car, 101 yds, 2 TD)
PRICE · 2025 WEEK 17
$7,262+1.8%1W+23%SINCE '25 DRAFTHIGH $7,262
AGE25Mar 21, 2000
EXP2 yrssince 2023
HEIGHT5'10"
WEIGHT211 lb
COLLEGEIllinois
DRAFT2023 · 5th rdpick 163
RANKRB7#11 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2025 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE64%actual · 17 games TARGET SHARE14%actual · 17 gamesL4 14%
What the model expected
2025 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 168 RBSProjected games
13.770th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 97 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONZAC TAYLOR
CINCINNATI BENGALS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected6TH OF 32
+1.6%throws more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate2ND OF 32
62%pass-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 97 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
379th
of 17 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home917.3+0.719.798
Away815.8−0.817.972
Weeks 1 to 9912.8−3.817.069
Career
2023–2025 · 3 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRCARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
RB2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1@CLE21432.0132875%52−0.5113.1
W2JAX1647
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE67%actual · 17 games
Rush yards
56.390th
projected per game
Targets
4.496th
projected per game
Receptions
3.396th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.6590th
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
16.6 PPG · 17 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game15TH OF 32
61.7more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate2ND OF 32
66%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target21ST OF 32
7.3 ydthrows short
EPA per play23RD OF 32
−0.023a struggling offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 60%TE 21%RB 18%
ZAC TAYLOR · CAREERRECORD57–65–1
WIN %46%
SEASONS7
PLAYOFFS2
Where he sits
2025 · 97 RBS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
8.796th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
26.989th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
8
20.9
+4.3
20.9
104
Division games616.2−0.421.095
Non-division1116.9+0.217.680
Points distribution
17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
SEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025CIN1716.62321,0194.46886943767%49
2024CIN1615.92299904.37655436063%60
2023CIN124.5441794.10151415612%8
2.9
0
3
2
18
71%
3
3
−1.06
8.5
W3@MIN1030.30541755%11−2.196.0
W4@DEN10404.00333173%10−1.1810.1
W5DET8273.40872153%00–11.8
W7PIT111089.8042-863%40+5.9712.0
W8NYJ12736.11333254%51+2.9525.5
W9CHI11373.401487596%31−0.0119.2
W11@PIT18995.50862882%11+0.8818.7
W12NE191075.60422389%00−0.2315.0
W13@BAL15785.20773560%50+0.9718.3
W14@BUF12231.91431267%31−1.5118.5
W15BAL13534.10773762%20−0.0516.0
W16@MIA12665.51444361%50+0.8232.9
W17ARI221014.62334061%82+0.8229.1
W18CLE13725.50641856%10+0.6819.0
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)