Chase Brown — $7,262 · FFX
RB · CINCINNATI BENGALS · RB9 · #12 OVERALL
Chase Brown
Why this price: team projection CIN 26.0->25.5 ppg; 13.1 pts last game (20 car, 67 yds, 0 TD)
PRICE · 2024 WEEK 17
$8,110+0.4%1W+333%SINCE '24 DRAFTHIGH $8,110
AGE24Mar 21, 2000
EXP1 yrsince 2023
HEIGHT5'10"
WEIGHT211 lb
COLLEGEIllinois
DRAFT2023 · 5th rdpick 163
RANKRB9#12 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2024 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE65%actual · 16 games TARGET SHARE11%actual · 16 gamesL4 12%
What the model expected
2024 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 163 RBSProjected games
13.772nd
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 99 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONZAC TAYLOR
CINCINNATI BENGALS · 2024 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected1ST OF 32
+7.9%throws more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate1ST OF 32
67%pass-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2024 · PPR · VS 99 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
591st
of 16 games
Splits
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home814.3−1.617.480
Away817.5+1.619.489
Weeks 1 to 9913.0−3.014.664
Career
2023–2025 · 3 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRCARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
RB2024 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1NE3113.70331233%10–5.3
W2@KC431
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE63%actual · 16 games
Rush yards
35.668th
projected per game
Targets
2.780th
projected per game
Receptions
2.180th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.3972nd
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
15.9 PPG · 16 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game9TH OF 32
62.9more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate2ND OF 32
66%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target24TH OF 32
7.0 ydthrows short
EPA per play8TH OF 32
+0.081an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
ZAC TAYLOR · CAREERRECORD57–65–1
WIN %46%
SEASONS7
PLAYOFFS2
Where he sits
2024 · 99 RBS
of 16 games · fewer is better
Floor
6.384th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
25.389th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
7
19.8
+3.8
23.3
110
Division games515.8−0.118.482
Non-division1116.0+0.118.485
Points distribution
16 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
SEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025CIN1716.62321,0194.46886943767%49
2024CIN1615.92299904.37655436063%60
2023CIN124.5441794.10151415612%8
7.8
0
0
0
0
20%
0
0
–
3.1
W4@CAR15805.32321240%52+1.6223.2
W5BAL12463.8033833%41−0.2516.4
W6@NYG10535.31321162%00+0.6014.4
W7@CLE15442.9022958%10−0.227.3
W8PHI12322.7142248%31−1.4011.4
W9LV271204.40553780%81+1.0126.7
W10@BAL13423.211195287%21−1.5322.4
W11@LAC22863.90755783%72−0.0819.3
W13PIT12705.81333081%22+2.6219.0
W14@DAL14584.10866583%40−0.0724.3
W15@TEN25973.91331693%101−1.4426.3
W16CLE18915.10331898%42+1.9613.9
W17DEN20673.40442481%81−0.0013.1
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)