Jahmyr Gibbs — $12,947 · FFX
RB · DETROIT LIONS · RB2 · #2 OVERALL
Jahmyr Gibbs
Why this price: model ppg 21.4->20.6 (efficiency / teammates); team projection DET 29.8->30.5 ppg; season avg 19.4->19.8 ppg (weight 39%->40%)
PRICE · 2024 WEEK 17
$12,745−1.0%1W+42%SINCE '24 DRAFTHIGH $12,870
AGE22Mar 20, 2002
EXP1 yrsince 2023
HEIGHT5'9"
WEIGHT202 lb
COLLEGEAlabama
DRAFT2023 · 1st rdpick 12
RANKRB2#2 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2024 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE49%actual · 17 games TARGET SHARE11%actual · 17 gamesL4 14%
What the model expected
2024 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 163 RBSProjected games
13.626th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 99 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONDAN CAMPBELL
DETROIT LIONS · 2024 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected23RD OF 32
−3.7%runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate26TH OF 32
53%run-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2024 · PPR · VS 99 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
794th
of 17 games
Splits
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home922.1+0.716.9108
Away820.6−0.820.1119
Weeks 1 to 9818.8−2.616.0103
Career
2023–2025 · 3 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRCARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
RB2024 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1LA11403.61643451%62−0.4817.4
W2TB1384
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE55%actual · 17 games
Rush yards
62.195th
projected per game
Targets
4.898th
projected per game
Receptions
3.698th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.8397th
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
21.3 PPG · 17 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game2ND OF 32
64.6more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate28TH OF 32
44%runs for touchdowns
Average depth of target32ND OF 32
6.3 ydthrows short
EPA per play3RD OF 32
+0.172an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
DAN CAMPBELL · CAREERRECORD55–45–1
WIN %54%
SEASONS6
PLAYOFFS2
Where he sits
2024 · 99 RBS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
12.598th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
29.896th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
9
23.6
+2.3
20.6
123
Division games624.6+3.320.3123
Non-division1119.6−1.817.4108
Points distribution
17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
SEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025DET1721.62431,2235.013947761667%67
2024DET1721.32501,4125.616635251755%74
2023DET1516.11829455.210715231656%56
6.5
0
7
7
22
62%
6
0
+1.55
17.6
W3@ARI16835.20002046%21+0.0716.3
W4SEA14785.6200057%52+0.7019.8
W6@DAL12635.30532854%30−0.0812.1
W7@MIN151167.72444458%20+2.6032.0
W8TEN1112711.5111640%31+6.5620.3
W9@GB11655.91211139%30+1.0414.6
W10@HOU19713.70323760%00−0.9612.8
W11JAX11696.31115442%22+1.1519.3
W12@IND21904.3233967%53−0.2024.9
W13CHI9879.70421746%20–10.4
W14GB15432.90663056%51−1.5319.3
W15BUF8313.91758375%51–28.4
W16@CHI231094.71544569%93+0.6925.4
W17@SF181176.51444652%30+2.1326.3
W18MIN231396.03553166%61+0.6946.0
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)