Ashton Jeanty — $6,186 · FFX
RB · LAS VEGAS RAIDERS · RB11 · #17 OVERALL · QUESTIONABLE
Ashton Jeanty
Why this price: model ppg 14.2->15.4 (efficiency / teammates); team projection LV 17.0->15.9 ppg; 9.3 pts last game (16 car, 60 yds, 0 TD)
PRICE · 2025 WEEK 17
$6,186+9.7%1W−8%SINCE '25 DRAFTHIGH $6,753
AGE21Dec 2, 2003
EXPRookiesince 2025
HEIGHT5'8"
WEIGHT208 lb
COLLEGEBoise State
DRAFT2025 · 1st rdpick 6
RANKRB11#17 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2025 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE72%actual · 17 games TARGET SHARE15%actual · 17 gamesL4 15%
What the model expected
2025 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 168 RBSProjected games
13.747th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 97 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONPETE CARROLL
LAS VEGAS RAIDERS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected15TH OF 32
−1.6%throws more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate5TH OF 32
60%pass-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 97 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
379th
of 17 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home915.5+1.020.680
Away813.3−1.219.375
Weeks 1 to 9814.5+0.118.678
2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1@NE19382.0122286%21−1.0812.0
W2LAC1143
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE78%actual · 17 games
Rush yards
60.493rd
projected per game
Targets
4.698th
projected per game
Receptions
3.598th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.6992nd
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
14.4 PPG · 17 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game31ST OF 32
55.4fewer snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate8TH OF 32
57%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target31ST OF 32
6.0 ydthrows short
EPA per play32ND OF 32
−0.228a struggling offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 49%TE 32%RB 19%
PETE CARROLL · CAREERRECORD184–145–1
WIN %56%
SEASONS19
PLAYOFFS12
Where he sits
2025 · 97 RBS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
6.181st
10th percentile week
Ceiling
27.690th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
9
14.3
−0.1
21.1
78
Division games69.6−4.919.056
Non-division1117.1+2.620.590
Points distribution
17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
3.9
0
4
3
1
56%
3
0
−2.29
7.4
W3@WAS17633.7000061%41+0.096.3
W4CHI211386.61221785%60+2.2533.5
W5@IND14674.80754254%30+0.4415.9
W6TEN23753.31421179%62−0.2516.6
W7@KC6213.50111363%00–4.4
W9JAX13423.20554791%42−0.6819.9
W10@DEN19603.2153387%21−0.5115.3
W11DAL671.20862773%20–9.4
W12CLE17502.90885881%10−1.2124.8
W13@LAC15312.10863096%22−1.7212.1
W14DEN10303.0042870%20−0.645.8
W15@PHI9353.9064771%00–8.2
W16@HOU241285.31216093%20+1.7131.8
W17NYG16603.80221381%21+0.469.3
W18KC26873.3053797%41−0.5812.4
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)