RJ Harvey — $3,370 · FFX
RB · DENVER BRONCOS · RB20 · #37 OVERALL
RJ Harvey
Why this price: carry share 47%->49%; team projection DEN 23.9->24.9 ppg; 18.6 pts last game (14 car, 43 yds, 0 TD)
PRICE · 2025 WEEK 17
$3,370+35.0%1W+68%SINCE '25 DRAFTHIGH $3,399
AGE24Feb 4, 2001
EXPRookiesince 2025
HEIGHT5'9"
WEIGHT208 lb
COLLEGEUCF
DRAFT2025 · 2nd rdpick 60
RANKRB20#37 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2025 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE32%actual · 17 games TARGET SHARE10%actual · 17 gamesL4 12%
What the model expected
2025 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 168 RBSProjected games
13.782nd
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 97 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONSEAN PAYTON
DENVER BRONCOS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected7TH OF 32
+1.4%throws more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate8TH OF 32
59%pass-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 97 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
489th
of 17 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home912.0−0.212.456
Away812.4+0.211.549
Weeks 1 to 9910.7−1.58.041
2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1TEN67011.7011-129%00–7.9
W2@IND58
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE42%actual · 17 games
Rush yards
40.376th
projected per game
Targets
3.289th
projected per game
Receptions
2.488th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.4883rd
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
12.2 PPG · 17 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game4TH OF 32
63.5more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate5TH OF 32
59%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target22ND OF 32
7.3 ydthrows short
EPA per play11TH OF 32
+0.043an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 60%TE 20%RB 20%
SEAN PAYTON · CAREERRECORD194–118
WIN %62%
SEASONS18
PLAYOFFS11
Where he sits
2025 · 97 RBS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
4.172nd
10th percentile week
Ceiling
22.079th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
8
13.8
+1.7
16.5
66
Division games610.2−1.914.749
Non-division1113.2+1.110.555
Points distribution
17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
1.6
0
2
1
16
33%
0
0
–
3.4
W3@LAC221.00331429%00–4.6
W4CIN14584.10544041%41+0.6519.8
W5@PHI4123.00331820%00–6.0
W6@NYJ242.00442128%00–6.5
W8DAL7466.6211527%31–24.1
W9@HOU252.50555132%00–16.6
W11KC11302.70332061%40−1.908.0
W13@WAS13352.72432747%63−2.5921.2
W14@LV17754.41662568%61−0.9022.0
W15GB19653.4110068%52−0.5410.5
W16JAX7507.11547159%00–22.1
W17@KC14433.10653365%31−0.9418.6
W18LAC15281.9041556%60−1.884.3
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)