RB · DALLAS COWBOYS · RB20 · #48 OVERALL
Rico Dowdle
Why this price: model ppg 11.8->12.8 (efficiency / teammates); 9.8 pts last game (23 car, 104 yds, 0 TD)
PRICE · 2024 WEEK 17
$3,814+16.5%1W+149%SINCE '24 DRAFTHIGH $3,814
AGE26Jun 14, 1998
EXP4 yrssince 2020
HEIGHT6'0"
WEIGHT215 lb
COLLEGESouth Carolina
DRAFTUDFA
RANKRB20#48 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2024 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE57%actual · 16 games TARGET SHARE8%actual · 16 gamesL4 5%
What the model expected
2024 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 163 RBSProjected games
13.644th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 99 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONMIKE MCCARTHY
DALLAS COWBOYS · 2024 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected16TH OF 32
−2.4%throws more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate4TH OF 32
60%pass-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2024 · PPR · VS 99 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
270th
of 16 games
Splits
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home911.5−0.816.973
Away713.4+1.118.996
Weeks 1 to 9712.5+0.113.969
Career
2020–2025 · 5 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPR
2024 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1@CLE8263.3011644%00–4.2
W2NO730
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE58%actual · 16 games
Rush yards
35.667th
projected per game
Targets
2.164th
projected per game
Receptions
1.664th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.3363rd
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
12.4 PPG · 16 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game3RD OF 32
64.4more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate8TH OF 32
58%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target20TH OF 32
7.4 ydthrows short
EPA per play29TH OF 32
−0.111a struggling offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
Where he sits
2024 · 99 RBS
of 16 games · fewer is better
Floor
6.886th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
20.473rd
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
9
12.3
−0.1
20.8
94
Division games613.3+1.020.588
Non-division1011.8−0.616.180
Points distribution
16 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
CARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
RBSEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025CAR1712.72361,0764.66503929756%41
2024DAL1612.42351,0794.62493924957%33
2023DAL165.7893614.12221714422%23
2022DAL20.000–00002%–
2020DAL50.57243.400001%1
4.3
0
5
4
29
43%
0
0
–
9.9
W3BAL8324.00532446%10–8.6
W4@NYG11464.20111545%20+0.2313.1
W5@PIT20874.30222750%21+0.0219.4
W6DET5255.00653028%00–10.5
W9@ATL12756.30653271%40+0.3621.7
W10PHI12534.4033352%21−1.448.6
W11HOU10282.8052649%00+0.545.4
W12@WAS19864.50331261%10+0.0310.8
W13NYG221125.11331170%41+2.1121.3
W14CIN181317.30211077%40+2.2915.1
W15@CAR251496.0000074%10+1.2914.9
W16TB13231.80332877%10−2.098.1
W17@PHI231044.5011466%30+0.849.8
W18WAS22723.31321267%82−1.0116.4
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)