Rico Dowdle — $3,352 · FFX
RB · PITTSBURGH STEELERS · RB31 · #76 OVERALL
Rico Dowdle
Why this price: Opening price. Preseason consensus with the model's team and usage priors; no games played yet.
PRICE · 2026 PRESEASON
$1,372'25 FINAL $3,352HIGH $1,372
AGE28Jun 14, 1998
EXP6 yrssince 2020
HEIGHT6'0"
WEIGHT215 lb
COLLEGESouth Carolina
DRAFTUDFA
RANKRB31#76 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENTOnly the preseason price exists for 2026.
The first weekly reprice is Tuesday after week 1.
See 2025● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
PROJECTED ROLE
PRICED PRESEASON · TREND IS 2025 ACTUALPROJ PPG10.2over 13.7 expected games CARRY SHARE42%projected, of team carries TARGET SHARE11%projected, of team targets
What the price is built on
2026 PRESEASON · PER GAME · VS 169 RBSProjected games
13.745th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 97 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONMIKE TOMLIN
PITTSBURGH STEELERS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected9TH OF 32
−0.6%throws more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate10TH OF 32
58%pass-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 97 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
379th
of 17 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home815.7+2.919.3102
Away910.1−2.614.762
Weeks 1 to 9914.6+1.916.896
Career
2020–2025 · 5 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPR
2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1@JAX3124.0032434%00–3.6
W2@ARI69
SEASON 11%
· L4 14%
SNAP SHARE–projected, of offensive snaps inherits 6% of PIT carries (31% vacated, his claim 20%); inherits 4% of PIT targets (55% vacated, his claim 6%)
Rush yards
41.081st
projected per game
Targets
3.090th
projected per game
Receptions
2.492nd
projected per game
Total TDs
0.3773rd
rushing + receiving, per game
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game28TH OF 32
57.4fewer snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate13TH OF 32
55%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target32ND OF 32
5.8 ydthrows short
EPA per play16TH OF 32
+0.019an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 45%TE 30%RB 25%
MIKE TOMLIN · CAREERRECORD201–126–2
WIN %61%
SEASONS19
PLAYOFFS13
Where he sits
2025 · 97 RBS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
3.466th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
29.895th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
8
10.6
−2.1
16.9
63
Division games610.8−1.916.555
Non-division1113.8+1.017.095
Points distribution
17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
CARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
RBSEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025CAR1712.72361,0764.66503929756%41
2024DAL1612.42351,0794.62493924957%33
2023DAL165.7893614.12221714422%23
2022DAL20.000–00002%–
2020DAL50.57243.400001%1
1.5
0
1
1
10
29%
3
2
–
2.9
W3ATL10303.0111840%42−2.5210.8
W4@NE9323.6011-239%00–4.0
W5MIA232069.01432867%41+5.0132.4
W6DAL301836.10545688%30+1.1833.9
W7@NYJ17794.60211746%10+0.9410.6
W9@GB251305.22321172%42+1.7528.1
W10NO18532.91331079%31−0.3715.3
W11@ATL19452.40755582%100−0.6715.0
W12@SF6386.30443665%20–11.4
W13LA18583.20222142%00−0.119.9
W15@NO16493.1111560%21−0.9712.4
W16TB9293.20641457%20–8.3
W17SEA12594.9053464%00+0.689.3
W18@TB7101.40222053%10–3.0
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)