Kenneth Walker III — $2,461 · FFX
RB · SEATTLE SEAHAWKS · RB27 · #51 OVERALL · QUESTIONABLE
Kenneth Walker III
Why this price: projection 11.8->11.4 ppg; 7.7 pts last game (15 car, 51 yds, 0 TD)

PRICE · 2025 WEEK 17
$2,461−10.9%1W−37%SINCE '25 DRAFTHIGH $3,884
AGE24Oct 20, 2000
EXP3 yrssince 2022
HEIGHT5'9"
WEIGHT211 lb
COLLEGEMichigan State
DRAFT2022 · 2nd rdpick 41
RANKRB27#51 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2025 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE45%actual · 17 games TARGET SHARE8%actual · 17 gamesL4 9%
What the model expected
2025 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 168 RBSProjected games
13.747th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 97 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONMIKE MACDONALD
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPE RANKED IN ITS OWN SEASONPass rate over expected30TH OF 32
−6.7%runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate25TH OF 32
53%run-first in a script game
Boom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 97 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
271st
of 17 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home810.8−0.514.369
Away911.7+0.415.984
Weeks 1 to 9810.4−0.914.669
Career
2022–2025 · 4 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRCARRIES PER GAME BY SEASON
2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1SF10202.0033440%20−2.065.4
W2@PIT13105
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE47%actual · 17 games
Rush yards
44.681st
projected per game
Targets
3.893rd
projected per game
Receptions
3.093rd
projected per game
Total TDs
0.6087th
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
11.3 PPG · 17 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game22ND OF 32
58.6fewer snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate28TH OF 32
43%runs for touchdowns
Average depth of target14TH OF 32
8.0 ydthrows downfield
EPA per play10TH OF 32
+0.047an efficient offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 64%TE 22%RB 14%
MIKE MACDONALD · CAREERRECORD26–10
WIN %72%
SEASONS2
PLAYOFFS1
Where he sits
2025 · 97 RBS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
4.374th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
19.372nd
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
9
12.1
+0.8
15.6
84
Division games614.7+3.417.0102
Non-division119.4−1.914.163
Points distribution
17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
RB
SEASONTEAMGPPGCARRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TDTGTRECREC YDSSNAP %RZ
2025SEA1711.32211,0274.65363128247%55
2024SEA1116.51535733.77534629963%33
2023SEA1513.32199054.18372925954%41
2022SEA1513.52281,0504.69352716559%55
8.1
1
1
1
13
35%
3
0
+2.64
18.8
W3NO16382.42111253%42−1.1218.0
W4@ARI19814.30212950%20+0.2712.0
W5TB10868.6011044%21+4.119.6
W6@JAX10343.4011335%20−0.724.7
W7HOU17663.9000044%20−1.196.6
W9@WAS11423.80221957%32−1.518.1
W10ARI14674.8011344%41+0.648.0
W11@LA16674.21334451%11+0.3120.1
W12@TEN11716.50433062%41+0.9413.1
W13MIN13564.30431855%10+1.1710.4
W14@ATL10292.9031-152%40−0.393.8
W15IND9171.9011242%10–2.9
W16LA111009.11336444%00+3.6225.4
W17@CAR15513.4022647%10−2.087.7
W18@SF16976.10443642%10+1.7717.3
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)