C.J. Stroud — $168 · FFX
QB · HOUSTON TEXANS · QB16 · #115 OVERALL
C.J. Stroud
Why this price: team projection HOU 23.4->20.1 ppg; model ppg 17.4->16.0 (efficiency / teammates); 6.1 pts last game (185 pass yds, 0 TD)
PRICE · 2024 WEEK 17
$1,201−19.3%1W−64%SINCE '24 DRAFTHIGH $3,378
AGE22Oct 3, 2001
EXP1 yrsince 2023
HEIGHT6'3"
WEIGHT218 lb
COLLEGEOhio State
DRAFT2023 · 1st rdpick 2
RANKQB16#115 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2024 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKSNAP SHARE93%actual · 17 games What the model expected
2024 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 93 QBSProjected games
14.296th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 39 QBSPASSINGATTCMPCOMP %PASS YDSYDS/ATTPASS TDINTSACKSSACK %AIR YDS
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONDEMECO RYANS
HOUSTON TEXANS · 2024 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected6TH OF 32
+1.3%throws more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate6TH OF 32
59%pass-first in a script game
Weekly usage
2024 · 17 GPBoom or bust
2024 · PPR · VS 39 QBSWeeks 20+ pts
118th
of 17 games
Splits
2024 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONATT/GPASS YDS/G
Home813.7+0.734.3252
Away912.3−0.628.7190
Weeks 1 to 9914.4+1.532.9238
Career
2023–2025 · 3 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRPASS YARDS PER GAME BY SEASON
QB2024 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCMP/ATTYDSTDINTSCKAIRCPOETTTRUSHRYDSRTDPTS
W1@IND24/32234204252+11.83.08413018.7
W2CHI23/36
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
Pass attempts
36.186th
projected per game
Passing TDs
1.8398th
projected per game
Interceptions
0.6838th
projected per game · lower is better
Rush yards
13.674th
projected per game
Points by week
13.0 PPG · 17 GP
EFFICIENCY AND RUSHINGADOTCPOETIME TO THROWAGGR %TO STICKSPASS EPARUSH ATTRUSH YDSRUSH TD
Plays per game15TH OF 32
61.5more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate22ND OF 32
49%runs for touchdowns
Average depth of target8TH OF 32
8.2 ydthrows downfield
EPA per play24TH OF 32
−0.064a struggling offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
DEMECO RYANS · CAREERRECORD35–22
WIN %61%
SEASONS3
PLAYOFFS3
Where he sits
2024 · 39 QBS
of 17 games · fewer is better
Floor
6.144th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
18.518th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
8
11.3
−1.6
29.5
199
Division games615.1+2.130.3234
Non-division1111.8−1.231.8211
Points distribution
17 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
SEASONTEAMGPPGATTPASS YDSTDINTSACK %CPOERUSH YDSRUSH TD
2025HOU1414.94233,0411985.2%+0.12091
2024HOU1713.05323,72720128.9%+0.02330
2023HOU1518.44994,1082357.1%+0.61673
260
1
0
3
277
−0.4
2.88
1
-1
0
14.3
W3@MIN20/31215124204−3.82.5031209.8
W4JAX27/40345202322−1.32.97317023.5
W5BUF28/38331111241+7.02.74327015.9
W6@NE20/31192312266+1.32.8337018.4
W7@GB10/2186004153−8.23.2551905.3
W8IND25/37285102278+6.03.041-10012.4
W9@NYJ11/30191008474−16.33.63859011.5
W10DET19/33232124268−2.52.931509.8
W11@DAL23/34257011170−5.82.57326010.9
W12TEN20/33247224291+3.43.01318015.7
W13@JAX22/34242102293−0.52.9657014.4
W15MIA18/26131204194+3.33.2164011.6
W16@KC23/39244222411+3.23.18223016.1
W17BAL17/31185015303−5.23.101706.1
W18@TEN6/65010027––0006.0
CMP/ATT completions / attemptsYDS passing yardsTD passing touchdownsINT interceptionsSCK sacks takenAIR passing air yardsCPOE completion % over expected (ngs)TTT avg time to throw, seconds (ngs)RUSH rush attemptsRYDS rushing yardsRTD rushing touchdowns