C.J. Stroud — $168 · FFX
QB · HOUSTON TEXANS · QB17 · #184 OVERALL
C.J. Stroud
Why this price: $81->$168; team projection HOU 21.9->23.5 ppg; 13.8 pts last game (244 pass yds, 2 TD)
PRICE · 2025 WEEK 17
$168+107.4%1W−51%SINCE '25 DRAFTHIGH $393
AGE23Oct 3, 2001
EXP2 yrssince 2023
HEIGHT6'3"
WEIGHT218 lb
COLLEGEOhio State
DRAFT2023 · 1st rdpick 2
RANKQB17#184 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2025 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKSNAP SHARE91%actual · 14 games What the model expected
2025 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 96 QBSProjected games
14.181st
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 39 QBSPASSINGATTCMPCOMP %PASS YDSYDS/ATTPASS TDINTSACKSSACK %AIR YDS
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONDEMECO RYANS
HOUSTON TEXANS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected13TH OF 32
−1.1%throws more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate11TH OF 32
58%pass-first in a script game
Weekly usage
2025 · 14 GPBoom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 39 QBSWeeks 20+ pts
328th
of 14 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONATT/GPASS YDS/G
Home715.9+1.126.9208
Away713.8−1.133.6227
Weeks 1 to 9815.1+0.230.3213
Career
2023–2025 · 3 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRPASS YARDS PER GAME BY SEASON
QB2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCMP/ATTYDSTDINTSCKAIRCPOETTTRUSHRYDSRTDPTS
W1@LA19/27188013172−0.92.6553208.7
W2TB13/24
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
Pass attempts
35.287th
projected per game
Passing TDs
1.3169th
projected per game
Interceptions
0.7424th
projected per game · lower is better
Rush yards
13.471st
projected per game
Points by week
14.9 PPG · 14 GP
EFFICIENCY AND RUSHINGADOTCPOETIME TO THROWAGGR %TO STICKSPASS EPARUSH ATTRUSH YDSRUSH TD
Plays per game6TH OF 32
63.4more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate11TH OF 32
55%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target13TH OF 32
8.1 ydthrows downfield
EPA per play21ST OF 32
−0.017a struggling offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 63%TE 24%RB 14%
DEMECO RYANS · CAREERRECORD35–22
WIN %61%
SEASONS3
PLAYOFFS3
Where he sits
2025 · 39 QBS
of 14 games · fewer is better
Floor
8.867th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
22.944th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
6
14.6
−0.3
30.2
223
Division games413.8−1.131.0221
Non-division1015.3+0.529.9216
Points distribution
14 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
SEASONTEAMGPPGATTPASS YDSTDINTSACK %CPOERUSH YDSRUSH TD
2025HOU1414.94233,0411985.2%+0.12091
2024HOU1713.05323,72720128.9%+0.02330
2023HOU1518.44994,1082357.1%+0.61673
207
1
0
3
195
−2.9
3.15
4
27
0
15.0
W3@JAX25/38204122288−3.12.53422010.4
W4TEN22/28233202182+1.82.62411018.4
W5@BAL23/27244402206+16.02.49130028.8
W7@SEA23/49229113424−8.92.92225013.7
W8SF30/39318210338+6.32.69730021.7
W9DEN6/107900286––21204.4
W13@IND22/35276012392+3.63.011009.0
W14@KC15/31203103305−4.33.2725012.6
W15ARI22/29260301117+12.43.12610023.4
W16LV23/35187100305+2.22.7440011.5
W17@LAC16/28244220256−5.12.6340013.8
W18IND14/23169100139−2.32.9225117.3
CMP/ATT completions / attemptsYDS passing yardsTD passing touchdownsINT interceptionsSCK sacks takenAIR passing air yardsCPOE completion % over expected (ngs)TTT avg time to throw, seconds (ngs)RUSH rush attemptsRYDS rushing yardsRTD rushing touchdowns