C.J. Stroud — $168 · FFX
QB · HOUSTON TEXANS · QB21 · #161 OVERALL
C.J. Stroud
Why this price: Opening price. Preseason consensus with the model's team and usage priors; no games played yet.
PRICE · 2026 PRESEASON
$432'25 FINAL $168HIGH $432
AGE24Oct 3, 2001
EXP3 yrssince 2023
HEIGHT6'3"
WEIGHT218 lb
COLLEGEOhio State
DRAFT2023 · 1st rdpick 2
RANKQB21#161 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENTOnly the preseason price exists for 2026.
The first weekly reprice is Tuesday after week 1.
See 2025● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
PROJECTED ROLE
PRICED PRESEASON · TREND IS 2025 ACTUALPROJ PPG15.7over 11.9 expected games SNAP SHARE–projected, of offensive snaps inherits 3% of HOU carries (41% vacated, his claim 9%)
What the price is built on
2026 PRESEASON · PER GAME · VS 105 QBSProjected games
11.929th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 39 QBSPASSINGATTCMPCOMP %PASS YDSYDS/ATTPASS TDINTSACKSSACK %AIR YDS
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONDEMECO RYANS
HOUSTON TEXANS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPEPass rate over expected13TH OF 32
−1.1%throws more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate11TH OF 32
58%pass-first in a script game
Weekly usage
2025 · 14 GPBoom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 39 QBSWeeks 20+ pts
328th
of 14 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONATT/GPASS YDS/G
Home715.9+1.126.9208
Away713.8−1.133.6227
Weeks 1 to 9815.1+0.230.3213
Career
2023–2025 · 3 SEASONS · REGULAR SEASONPOINTS PER GAME BY SEASON
PPRPASS YARDS PER GAME BY SEASON
QB2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCMP/ATTYDSTDINTSCKAIRCPOETTTRUSHRYDSRTDPTS
W1@LA19/27188013172−0.92.6553208.7
W2TB13/24
Pass attempts
32.476th
projected per game
Passing TDs
1.5487th
projected per game
Interceptions
0.6924th
projected per game · lower is better
Rush yards
12.777th
projected per game
EFFICIENCY AND RUSHINGADOTCPOETIME TO THROWAGGR %TO STICKSPASS EPARUSH ATTRUSH YDSRUSH TD
Plays per game6TH OF 32
63.4more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate11TH OF 32
55%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target13TH OF 32
8.1 ydthrows downfield
EPA per play21ST OF 32
−0.017a struggling offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 63%TE 24%RB 14%
DEMECO RYANS · CAREERRECORD35–22
WIN %61%
SEASONS3
PLAYOFFS3
Where he sits
2025 · 39 QBS
of 14 games · fewer is better
Floor
8.867th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
22.944th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
6
14.6
−0.3
30.2
223
Division games413.8−1.131.0221
Non-division1015.3+0.529.9216
Points distribution
14 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
SEASONTEAMGPPGATTPASS YDSTDINTSACK %CPOERUSH YDSRUSH TD
2025HOU1414.94233,0411985.2%+0.12091
2024HOU1713.05323,72720128.9%+0.02330
2023HOU1518.44994,1082357.1%+0.61673
207
1
0
3
195
−2.9
3.15
4
27
0
15.0
W3@JAX25/38204122288−3.12.53422010.4
W4TEN22/28233202182+1.82.62411018.4
W5@BAL23/27244402206+16.02.49130028.8
W7@SEA23/49229113424−8.92.92225013.7
W8SF30/39318210338+6.32.69730021.7
W9DEN6/107900286––21204.4
W13@IND22/35276012392+3.63.011009.0
W14@KC15/31203103305−4.33.2725012.6
W15ARI22/29260301117+12.43.12610023.4
W16LV23/35187100305+2.22.7440011.5
W17@LAC16/28244220256−5.12.6340013.8
W18IND14/23169100139−2.32.9225117.3
CMP/ATT completions / attemptsYDS passing yardsTD passing touchdownsINT interceptionsSCK sacks takenAIR passing air yardsCPOE completion % over expected (ngs)TTT avg time to throw, seconds (ngs)RUSH rush attemptsRYDS rushing yardsRTD rushing touchdowns