Devin Neal — $896 · FFX
RB · NEW ORLEANS SAINTS · RB46 · #113 OVERALL · QUESTIONABLE
Devin Neal
Why this price: left early? snap share collapsed wk15: p_next=0.61; left early? snaps 71%->32%; expected games 3.6->2.0; carry share 43%->38%

PRICE · 2025 WEEK 15
$896−26.7%1W+93%SINCE '25 DRAFTHIGH $1,223
AGE22Aug 12, 2003
EXPRookiesince 2025
HEIGHT5'11"
WEIGHT213 lb
COLLEGEKansas
DRAFT2025 · 6th rdpick 184
RANKRB46#113 overall
PRICE HISTORY
PPR 12-TEAM 1QB · MODEL-ONLY, NO SENTIMENT2025 ROLE
WHAT IT ACTUALLY WAS · WEEK BY WEEKCARRY SHARE24%actual · 9 games TARGET SHARE6%actual · 9 games What the model expected
2025 PRESEASON PROJECTION · PER GAME · VS 168 RBSProjected games
13.778th
expected · of 17 scheduled
Full season stats
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PERCENTILE VS 127 RBSRUSHINGCARRIESCAR/GRUSH YDSYPCRUSH TD1ST DOWNSRZ CARGL CARRYOE/ATT
The offense he plays in
PLAY-BY-PLAY TENDENCIES · RANKED AGAINST THE LEAGUE THAT SEASONKELLEN MOORE
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS · 2025 · 17 GAMES OF TAPE RANKED IN ITS OWN SEASONPass rate over expected19TH OF 32
−3.4%runs more than the situation asks
Neutral pass rate17TH OF 32
56%run-first in a script game
Where he sits
2025 · 127 RBSBoom or bust
2025 · PPR · VS 127 RBSWeeks 20+ pts
00th
of 9 games
Splits
2025 · REGULAR SEASON · PPRSPLITGPPGVS SEASONTOUCH/GYDS/G
Home46.6−0.16.828
Away56.7+0.19.839
Weeks 1 to 941.8−4.82.58
2025 game log
PPR · REGULAR SEASON · @ = AWAYWKOPPCARYDSYPCTDTGTRECRYDSSNAP%RZGLRYOEPTS
W1ARI294.500009%00–0.9
W7@CHI11
● SEASON HIGH● SEASON LOW● INJURY DESIGNATION■ BYE
SNAP SHARE44%actual · 9 games
Rush yards
24.152nd
projected per game
Targets
1.549th
projected per game
Receptions
1.249th
projected per game
Total TDs
0.2344th
rushing + receiving, per game
Points by week
6.7 PPG · 9 GP
RECEIVING AND EFFICIENCYTGTTGT %RECREC YDSSNAP %EFFIC8+ BOX %RUSH EPA
Plays per game12TH OF 32
62.6more snaps to go around
Red zone pass rate10TH OF 32
56%throws for touchdowns
Average depth of target10TH OF 32
8.2 ydthrows downfield
EPA per play27TH OF 32
−0.085a struggling offense
PASS RATE OVER EXPECTEDW1–W18
Above the line the plan was to throw; below it, to run.
WHERE THE TARGETS GO
WR 63%TE 23%RB 14%
KELLEN MOORE · CAREERRECORD6–11
WIN %35%
SEASONS1
PLAYOFFS0
of 9 games · fewer is better
Floor
0.750th
10th percentile week
Ceiling
12.055th
90th percentile week
Weeks 10 to 18
5
10.5
+3.9
13.2
55
Division games59.4+2.710.444
Non-division43.3−3.46.023
Points distribution
9 GP · 5-POINT BUCKETS
1.0
0
0
0
0
12%
0
0
–
0.1
W10@CAR4225.5033935%00–6.1
W12ATL7182.60754374%00–11.1
W13@MIA14473.40332282%00−0.339.9
W14@TB19703.71111471%31+0.0015.4
W15CAR7284.0111432%11–10.2
CAR carriesYDS rushing yardsYPC yards per carryTD rushing touchdownsTGT targetsREC receptionsRYDS receiving yardsSNAP% offensive snap shareRZ red-zone carries + targetsGL goal-line carriesRYOE rush yards over expected per carry (ngs)