Movers

team projection JAX 27.3->29.1 ppg; 23.1 pts last game (263 pass yds, 0 TD)

thin edge: 1.8 ppg over the QB line, so small changes swing the price; team projection CHI 25.0->27.2 ppg; 23.0 pts last game (330 pass yds, 2 TD)

team projection LA 29.3->31.4 ppg; season avg 20.7->20.2 ppg (weight 39%->40%); 12.8 pts last game (269 pass yds, 2 TD)

thin edge: 1.9 ppg over the QB line, so small changes swing the price; team projection DEN 23.9->24.9 ppg; 19.5 pts last game (182 pass yds, 1 TD)

model ppg 19.2->18.9 (efficiency / teammates); team projection NE 27.4->28.7 ppg; season avg 20.2->21.0 ppg (weight 39%->40%)

team projection DET 27.3->25.8 ppg; season avg 18.6->17.6 ppg (weight 39%->40%); 2.1 pts last game (197 pass yds, 1 TD)

team projection ATL 21.4->23.2 ppg; season avg 21.6->22.7 ppg (weight 39%->40%); 39.9 pts last game (22 car, 195 yds, 1 TD)

season avg 14.8->16.7 ppg (weight 39%->40%); team projection BAL 22.0->23.6 ppg; 45.6 pts last game (36 car, 216 yds, 4 TD)

team projection MIN 21.0->23.3 ppg; carry share 51%->54%; 15.3 pts last game (18 car, 53 yds, 1 TD)

carry share 47%->49%; team projection DEN 23.9->24.9 ppg; 18.6 pts last game (14 car, 43 yds, 0 TD)

Questionable/Limited wk17 (Hand), played: p_next=0.86; model ppg 4.8->9.9 (efficiency / teammates); carry share 23%->31%

team projection GB 22.9->17.5 ppg; model ppg 15.0->12.4 (efficiency / teammates); carry share 51%->45%

model ppg 11.2->16.4 (efficiency / teammates); 22.1 pts last game (6/6 for 101 yds, 1 TD)

team projection NYG 22.7->24.2 ppg; 22.3 pts last game (11/14 for 113 yds, 0 TD)

model ppg 7.4->11.3 (efficiency / teammates); season avg 7.1->8.6 ppg (weight 37%->38%); 27.8 pts last game (8/9 for 138 yds, 1 TD)

team projection MIN 21.0->23.3 ppg; season avg 11.7->11.4 ppg (weight 39%->40%); 7.0 pts last game (4/5 for 30 yds, 0 TD)

team projection DEN 23.9->24.9 ppg; season avg 14.0->13.6 ppg (weight 39%->40%); 8.0 pts last game (4/10 for 40 yds, 0 TD)

Questionable/Limited wk17 (Knee), played: p_next=0.86; team projection DET 27.3->25.8 ppg; 14.8 pts last game (8/13 for 68 yds, 0 TD)

model ppg 9.3->11.3 (efficiency / teammates); 13.9 pts last game (3/3 for 49 yds, 1 TD)

team projection CHI 25.0->27.2 ppg; season avg 8.5->9.3 ppg (weight 38%->39%); 21.4 pts last game (6/10 for 94 yds, 1 TD)

model ppg 9.0->10.1 (efficiency / teammates); 13.5 pts last game (4/4 for 95 yds, 0 TD)

team projection KC 20.2->21.4 ppg; 8.6 pts last game (5/6 for 36 yds, 0 TD)

team projection PHI 24.2->23.3 ppg; 9.8 pts last game (3/6 for 8 yds, 1 TD)

left early? snap share collapsed wk17: p_next=0.65; left early? snaps 69%->29%; team projection DAL 27.8->26.9 ppg